Is Campbell Soup well-positioned for September economic uncertainties?

A penny saved is a penny earned, and when it comes to evaluating Campbell Soup’s stock, understanding its true value can make all the difference. Recently, CPB shares dipped about 1% amid ongoing market volatility, prompting investors to take a closer look at its investment outlook. The company operates within the consumer defensive sector, with a revenue of roughly $10.2 billion and a solid return on assets of nearly 6%. Its valuation metrics, such as a trailing PE of around 21.3 and a price-to-sales ratio just under 1, suggest a company that’s fairly valued but not undervalued. With a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.51% and a payout ratio of about 52%, Campbell maintains a balanced financial profile, though its net interest income shows a slight negative at -$243 million. As we analyze its fundamentals, including a book value of approximately $13 per share and a target price near $35, investors should weigh the steady cash flow from operations of $1.19 billion against the company’s current market positioning. This snapshot hints at a company with stable earnings and moderate growth prospects, but also one that warrants careful consideration amid broader market swings. With many younger investors showing interest in the food sector, it’s worth taking a closer look at Campbell Soup. The key question is whether the company can still deliver above-average profit margins in today’s market. Is its current valuation justified? I’ll focus on the 2025 outlook to help you gauge whether now is a good time to consider a position. We’ll explore the company’s growth prospects, competitive position, and potential risks, giving you a clearer picture of whether Campbell Soup remains a solid investment choice moving forward.
Published 3 days ago
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Reviewed by Rifka Kats

Campbell Soup carries approximately $7.54 billion in debt, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.52. While this level of leverage is manageable within its industry, it’s worth keeping an eye on. The stock is currently trading at around $33.44 per share, which many analysts see as undervalued given its modest growth outlook. If the company can maintain stability and improve its margins, there could be potential for upside. However, investors should consider the debt load and slow growth projections before jumping in.

Key Takeaways

Campbell Soup (CPB) shares have declined about 1% as investors weigh the company's valuation metrics amid ongoing market turbulence. With a price-to-earnings ratio of 19.80X and a return on assets of roughly 6%, the stock appears fairly valued, though the 37.86% probability of bankruptcy suggests some underlying risk that could impact future returns.
We determine the current worth of Campbell Soup using both absolute as well as relative valuation methodologies to arrive at its intrinsic value. In general, an absolute valuation paradigm, as applied to this company, attempts to find the value of Campbell Soup based exclusively on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. By analyzing Campbell Soup's financials, quarterly and monthly indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, operating cash flow, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Campbell Soup's intrinsic value. In some cases, mostly for established, large-cap companies, we also incorporate more traditional valuation methods such as dividend discount, discounted cash flow, or asset-based models. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Campbell Soup. We calculate exposure to Campbell Soup's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Campbell Soup's related companies.

Campbell Soup Investment Alerts

Campbell investment alerts and warnings help investors to get more proficient at understanding not only critical technical and fundamental signals but also the significant portfolio-centered indicators. These indicators include beta, alpha, and other risk-related measures that will help you in monitoring Campbell Soup performance across your portfolios.Please check all investment alerts for Campbell

Campbell Soup Valuation Ratios as Compared to Competition

Our valuation model uses many indicators to compare Campbell value to that of its competitors to determine the firm's financial worth. You can analyze the relationship between different fundamental ratios across Campbell Soup competition to find correlations between indicators driving the intrinsic value of Campbell.

Campbell Soup Gross Profit

Campbell Soup Gross Profit growth is one of the most critical measures in evaluating the company. The Gross Profit growth rate is calculated simply by comparing Campbell Soup previous period's values with its current period's values. Each time period you're measuring should be of equal lengths the increase or decrease, in a company's Gross Profit between two periods. Here we show Campbell Soup Gross Profit growth over the last 10 years. Please check Campbell Soup's gross profit and other fundamental indicators for more details.

Going after Campbell Financials

Campbell Soup reported the last year's revenue of 9.64 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 567 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 3.13 B.

Margins Breakdown

Campbell profit margins show the degree to which it makes money. Margin indicators are used not only by investors but also by creditors or Campbell Soup itself as indicators of financial health and management effectiveness. Please look more closely at the different varieties of Campbell Soup profit margins.
0.12
Operating Profit Margin
0.0693
Net Profit Margin
0.1
Pretax Profit Margin
Pretax Profit Margin0.1
Operating Profit Margin0.12
Net Profit Margin0.0693
Gross Profit Margin0.44
Campbell Soup Dividend Yield is somewhat stable at the moment.
Moreover, Campbell Soup PTB Ratio is decreasing over the last 5 years. The previous year's value of Campbell Soup PTB Ratio was 7.18. A penny saved is a penny earned, and in Campbell Soup's case, careful valuation reveals a stock trading at a forward PE of around 11.71, suggesting it may be undervalued compared to its trailing PE of 21.31. Despite a modest revenue growth of 4.5% and a current ratio of 0.68X, the company's low beta of 0.083 indicates it’s relatively insulated from market swings, which could appeal to conservative investors. However, with total debt at 7.54 billion and a profit margin of just 0.04%, the company’s financial flexibility warrants close monitoring. The stock’s potential upside of approximately 2.51 points from a target price of 34.80, against a current valuation of 16.45 billion, suggests some room for growth, but market volatility and risk-adjusted performance metrics advise caution..

Our Campbell analysis suggests possible reversion in September

Campbell Soup's stock shows an estimated upside of about 2.5%, suggesting some potential for upward movement. Our analysis indicates that a pullback might occur this September, possibly bringing the stock closer to more attractive levels. This could be a good time for investors to keep an eye out for a bounce or a better entry point as the stock stabilizes. Notably, Campbell Soup displays very low volatility, with a skewness of 0.83 and kurtosis of 1.01. Monitoring volatility trends can help investors better time their moves, especially during different market conditions.
During downturns, increased volatility often impacts Campbell Soup’s stock more significantly, adding pressure on investors as shares decline. This may lead some to rebalance their portfolios by shifting into other assets to manage risk.While Campbell Soup experienced a modest 1 percent dip, the overall outlook remains cautiously optimistic. With an analyst consensus leaning toward a "Buy" and a target price averaging around $34.80, there’s potential for upside, especially considering the possible increase to $34.09. However, the stock’s valuation hovers near the lower end of estimates, with a market value close to $31.97 and some analysts suggesting a downside risk as low as $31.24. For investors comfortable with a steady, dividend-paying name, Campbell Soup could still offer value, but it’s wise to keep an eye on the upcoming earnings and broader market conditions before making a move..

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Editorial Staff

This story should be regarded as informational only and should not be considered a solicitation to sell or buy any financial products. Macroaxis does not express any opinion as to the present or future value of any investments referred to in this post. This post may not be reproduced without the consent of Macroaxis LLC. Macroaxis LLC and Vlad Skutelnik do not own shares of Campbell Soup. Please refer to our Terms of Use for any information regarding our disclosure principles.

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