Pan American Silver Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

PAAS Stock  USD 35.21  0.32  0.90%   
Pan American's risk of distress is below 1% at this time. The company is very unlikely to encounter any financial distress in the next two years. Pan American's Probability of financial unrest is determined by interpolating and adjusting Pan Altman Z Score to account for off-balance-sheet items and missing or unfiled public information. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the Pan balance sheet, as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Check out Pan American Piotroski F Score and Pan American Altman Z Score analysis.
  
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Market Cap is likely to gain to about 5 B in 2025. Enterprise Value is likely to gain to about 5.4 B in 2025

Pan American Silver Company probability of financial unrest Analysis

Pan American's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.

Probability Of Bankruptcy

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Normalized

Z-Score

More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current Pan American Probability Of Bankruptcy

    
  Less than 1%  
Most of Pan American's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Pan American Silver is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Our calculation of Pan American probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Pan American odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Pan American Silver financial health.
Is Metals & Mining space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Pan American. If investors know Pan will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Pan American listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.78)
Dividend Share
0.4
Earnings Share
1.45
Revenue Per Share
8.594
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.183
The market value of Pan American Silver is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Pan that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Pan American's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Pan American's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Pan American's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Pan American's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Pan American's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Pan American is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Pan American's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Pan Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Pan American is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Pan Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since Pan American's main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Pan American's historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Pan American's interrelated accounts and indicators.
The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
Competition

Based on the latest financial disclosure, Pan American Silver has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 1.0%. This is 97.74% lower than that of the Metals & Mining sector and 97.02% lower than that of the Materials industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 97.49% higher than that of the company.

Pan Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Pan American's direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Pan American could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Pan American by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.
Pan American is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among its peers.

Pan American Main Bankruptcy Drivers

202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Return On Assets0.05180.0277(0.1)(0.0144)0.01550.0163
Net Debt(133.5M)(241.1M)119.8M402M(59.5M)(62.5M)
Total Current Liabilities361.8M387.7M380.8M624.2M687M721.4M
Non Current Liabilities Total466.3M494.9M666.1M1.8B1.8B1.9B
Total Assets3.4B3.5B3.2B7.2B7.2B7.6B
Total Current Assets856.9M1.0B804.4M1.4B1.7B1.8B
Total Cash From Operating Activities462.3M392.1M31.8M450.2M724.1M760.3M

Pan American ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Pan American's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Pan American's managers, analysts, and investors.
Environmental
Governance
Social

Pan Fundamentals

About Pan American Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Pan American Silver's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Pan American using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Pan American Silver based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

Thematic Opportunities

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Additional Tools for Pan Stock Analysis

When running Pan American's price analysis, check to measure Pan American's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Pan American is operating at the current time. Most of Pan American's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Pan American's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Pan American's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Pan American to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.