Correlation Between Emerging Markets and Intermediate-term

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Emerging Markets and Intermediate-term at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Emerging Markets and Intermediate-term into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Emerging Markets Fund and Intermediate Term Tax Free Bond, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Emerging Markets and Intermediate-term and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Emerging Markets with a short position of Intermediate-term. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Emerging Markets and Intermediate-term.

Diversification Opportunities for Emerging Markets and Intermediate-term

0.68
  Correlation Coefficient

Poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Emerging and Intermediate-term is 0.68. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Emerging Markets Fund and Intermediate Term Tax Free Bon in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Intermediate Term Tax and Emerging Markets is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Emerging Markets Fund are associated (or correlated) with Intermediate-term. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Intermediate Term Tax has no effect on the direction of Emerging Markets i.e., Emerging Markets and Intermediate-term go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Emerging Markets and Intermediate-term

Assuming the 90 days horizon Emerging Markets Fund is expected to generate 5.54 times more return on investment than Intermediate-term. However, Emerging Markets is 5.54 times more volatile than Intermediate Term Tax Free Bond. It trades about 0.15 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Intermediate Term Tax Free Bond is currently generating about 0.22 per unit of risk. If you would invest  2,276  in Emerging Markets Fund on June 9, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  168.00  from holding Emerging Markets Fund or generate 7.38% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthSignificant
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Emerging Markets Fund  vs.  Intermediate Term Tax Free Bon

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Emerging Markets 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Good

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Emerging Markets Fund are ranked lower than 12 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly weak primary indicators, Emerging Markets may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in October 2025.
Intermediate Term Tax 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Solid

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Intermediate Term Tax Free Bond are ranked lower than 17 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly strong forward indicators, Intermediate-term is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

Emerging Markets and Intermediate-term Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Emerging Markets and Intermediate-term

The main advantage of trading using opposite Emerging Markets and Intermediate-term positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Emerging Markets position performs unexpectedly, Intermediate-term can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Intermediate-term will offset losses from the drop in Intermediate-term's long position.
The idea behind Emerging Markets Fund and Intermediate Term Tax Free Bond pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Cryptocurrency Center module to build and monitor diversified portfolio of extremely risky digital assets and cryptocurrency.

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