Correlation Between SPDR Barclays and US Treasury

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both SPDR Barclays and US Treasury at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining SPDR Barclays and US Treasury into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between SPDR Barclays Short and US Treasury 12, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on SPDR Barclays and US Treasury and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in SPDR Barclays with a short position of US Treasury. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of SPDR Barclays and US Treasury.

Diversification Opportunities for SPDR Barclays and US Treasury

0.87
  Correlation Coefficient

Very poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between SPDR and OBIL is 0.87. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding SPDR Barclays Short and US Treasury 12 in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on US Treasury 12 and SPDR Barclays is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on SPDR Barclays Short are associated (or correlated) with US Treasury. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of US Treasury 12 has no effect on the direction of SPDR Barclays i.e., SPDR Barclays and US Treasury go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between SPDR Barclays and US Treasury

Given the investment horizon of 90 days SPDR Barclays is expected to generate 1.23 times less return on investment than US Treasury. In addition to that, SPDR Barclays is 3.1 times more volatile than US Treasury 12. It trades about 0.1 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. US Treasury 12 is currently generating about 0.4 per unit of volatility. If you would invest  4,989  in US Treasury 12 on March 27, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  27.50  from holding US Treasury 12 or generate 0.55% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthStrong
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

SPDR Barclays Short  vs.  US Treasury 12

 Performance 
       Timeline  
SPDR Barclays Short 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Good

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in SPDR Barclays Short are ranked lower than 13 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of comparatively stable basic indicators, SPDR Barclays is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price uproar, may contribute to short-horizon losses for the private investors.
US Treasury 12 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Strong

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in US Treasury 12 are ranked lower than 33 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite quite persistent forward indicators, US Treasury is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price mess, may contribute to short-term losses for the institutional investors.

SPDR Barclays and US Treasury Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with SPDR Barclays and US Treasury

The main advantage of trading using opposite SPDR Barclays and US Treasury positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if SPDR Barclays position performs unexpectedly, US Treasury can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in US Treasury will offset losses from the drop in US Treasury's long position.
The idea behind SPDR Barclays Short and US Treasury 12 pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Piotroski F Score module to get Piotroski F Score based on the binary analysis strategy of nine different fundamentals.

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