Correlation Between Moog and Triumph

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Moog and Triumph at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Moog and Triumph into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Moog Inc and Triumph Group, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Moog and Triumph and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Moog with a short position of Triumph. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Moog and Triumph.

Diversification Opportunities for Moog and Triumph

0.42
  Correlation Coefficient

Very weak diversification

The 3 months correlation between Moog and Triumph is 0.42. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Moog Inc and Triumph Group in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Triumph Group and Moog is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Moog Inc are associated (or correlated) with Triumph. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Triumph Group has no effect on the direction of Moog i.e., Moog and Triumph go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Moog and Triumph

Assuming the 90 days horizon Moog is expected to generate 16.0 times less return on investment than Triumph. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, Moog Inc is 20.06 times less risky than Triumph. It trades about 0.07 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Triumph Group is currently generating about 0.05 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  862.00  in Triumph Group on June 4, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  24,838  from holding Triumph Group or generate 2881.44% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthWeak
Accuracy95.55%
ValuesDaily Returns

Moog Inc  vs.  Triumph Group

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Moog Inc 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Mild

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Moog Inc are ranked lower than 5 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite somewhat weak basic indicators, Moog may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in October 2025.
Triumph Group 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Good

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Triumph Group has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite fairly weak technical and fundamental indicators, Triumph demonstrated solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Moog and Triumph Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Moog and Triumph

The main advantage of trading using opposite Moog and Triumph positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Moog position performs unexpectedly, Triumph can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Triumph will offset losses from the drop in Triumph's long position.
The idea behind Moog Inc and Triumph Group pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Latest Portfolios module to quick portfolio dashboard that showcases your latest portfolios.

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