Correlation Between Emerging Markets and Defensive Market

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Emerging Markets and Defensive Market at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Emerging Markets and Defensive Market into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Emerging Markets Equity and Defensive Market Strategies, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Emerging Markets and Defensive Market and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Emerging Markets with a short position of Defensive Market. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Emerging Markets and Defensive Market.

Diversification Opportunities for Emerging Markets and Defensive Market

0.58
  Correlation Coefficient

Very weak diversification

The 3 months correlation between Emerging and Defensive is 0.58. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Emerging Markets Equity and Defensive Market Strategies in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Defensive Market Str and Emerging Markets is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Emerging Markets Equity are associated (or correlated) with Defensive Market. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Defensive Market Str has no effect on the direction of Emerging Markets i.e., Emerging Markets and Defensive Market go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Emerging Markets and Defensive Market

Assuming the 90 days horizon Emerging Markets Equity is expected to generate 1.61 times more return on investment than Defensive Market. However, Emerging Markets is 1.61 times more volatile than Defensive Market Strategies. It trades about 0.33 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Defensive Market Strategies is currently generating about 0.26 per unit of risk. If you would invest  937.00  in Emerging Markets Equity on April 15, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  164.00  from holding Emerging Markets Equity or generate 17.5% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthWeak
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Emerging Markets Equity  vs.  Defensive Market Strategies

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Emerging Markets Equity 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Solid

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Emerging Markets Equity are ranked lower than 25 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly weak basic indicators, Emerging Markets showed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.
Defensive Market Str 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Solid

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Defensive Market Strategies are ranked lower than 20 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly weak basic indicators, Defensive Market may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in August 2025.

Emerging Markets and Defensive Market Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Emerging Markets and Defensive Market

The main advantage of trading using opposite Emerging Markets and Defensive Market positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Emerging Markets position performs unexpectedly, Defensive Market can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Defensive Market will offset losses from the drop in Defensive Market's long position.
The idea behind Emerging Markets Equity and Defensive Market Strategies pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Stock Screener module to find equities using a custom stock filter or screen asymmetry in trading patterns, price, volume, or investment outlook..

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