Correlation Between Defensive Market and Emerging Markets

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Defensive Market and Emerging Markets at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Defensive Market and Emerging Markets into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Defensive Market Strategies and Emerging Markets Equity, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Defensive Market and Emerging Markets and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Defensive Market with a short position of Emerging Markets. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Defensive Market and Emerging Markets.

Diversification Opportunities for Defensive Market and Emerging Markets

0.98
  Correlation Coefficient

Almost no diversification

The 3 months correlation between Defensive and Emerging is 0.98. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Defensive Market Strategies and Emerging Markets Equity in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Emerging Markets Equity and Defensive Market is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Defensive Market Strategies are associated (or correlated) with Emerging Markets. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Emerging Markets Equity has no effect on the direction of Defensive Market i.e., Defensive Market and Emerging Markets go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Defensive Market and Emerging Markets

Assuming the 90 days horizon Defensive Market is expected to generate 1.39 times less return on investment than Emerging Markets. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, Defensive Market Strategies is 2.7 times less risky than Emerging Markets. It trades about 0.43 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Emerging Markets Equity is currently generating about 0.22 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  1,063  in Emerging Markets Equity on April 14, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  38.00  from holding Emerging Markets Equity or generate 3.57% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthVery Strong
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Defensive Market Strategies  vs.  Emerging Markets Equity

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Defensive Market Str 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Solid

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Defensive Market Strategies are ranked lower than 20 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly weak basic indicators, Defensive Market may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in August 2025.
Emerging Markets Equity 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Strong

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Emerging Markets Equity are ranked lower than 26 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly weak basic indicators, Emerging Markets showed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Defensive Market and Emerging Markets Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Defensive Market and Emerging Markets

The main advantage of trading using opposite Defensive Market and Emerging Markets positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Defensive Market position performs unexpectedly, Emerging Markets can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Emerging Markets will offset losses from the drop in Emerging Markets' long position.
The idea behind Defensive Market Strategies and Emerging Markets Equity pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Commodity Channel module to use Commodity Channel Index to analyze current equity momentum.

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