Correlation Between ProShares UltraShort and ProShares Short

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both ProShares UltraShort and ProShares Short at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining ProShares UltraShort and ProShares Short into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between ProShares UltraShort Dow30 and ProShares Short SP500, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on ProShares UltraShort and ProShares Short and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in ProShares UltraShort with a short position of ProShares Short. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of ProShares UltraShort and ProShares Short.

Diversification Opportunities for ProShares UltraShort and ProShares Short

0.97
  Correlation Coefficient

Almost no diversification

The 3 months correlation between ProShares and ProShares is 0.97. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding ProShares UltraShort Dow30 and ProShares Short SP500 in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on ProShares Short SP500 and ProShares UltraShort is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on ProShares UltraShort Dow30 are associated (or correlated) with ProShares Short. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of ProShares Short SP500 has no effect on the direction of ProShares UltraShort i.e., ProShares UltraShort and ProShares Short go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between ProShares UltraShort and ProShares Short

Considering the 90-day investment horizon ProShares UltraShort Dow30 is expected to generate 1.72 times more return on investment than ProShares Short. However, ProShares UltraShort is 1.72 times more volatile than ProShares Short SP500. It trades about -0.03 of its potential returns per unit of risk. ProShares Short SP500 is currently generating about -0.06 per unit of risk. If you would invest  2,842  in ProShares UltraShort Dow30 on March 11, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (255.00) from holding ProShares UltraShort Dow30 or give up 8.97% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthVery Strong
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

ProShares UltraShort Dow30  vs.  ProShares Short SP500

 Performance 
       Timeline  
ProShares UltraShort 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days ProShares UltraShort Dow30 has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of rather sound basic indicators, ProShares UltraShort is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price tumult, may contribute to shorter-term losses for the shareholders.
ProShares Short SP500 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days ProShares Short SP500 has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite latest weak performance, the Etf's technical indicators remain strong and the recent confusion on Wall Street may also be a sign of long-lasting gains for the Etf traders.

ProShares UltraShort and ProShares Short Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with ProShares UltraShort and ProShares Short

The main advantage of trading using opposite ProShares UltraShort and ProShares Short positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if ProShares UltraShort position performs unexpectedly, ProShares Short can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in ProShares Short will offset losses from the drop in ProShares Short's long position.
The idea behind ProShares UltraShort Dow30 and ProShares Short SP500 pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Comparator module to compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account.

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