Correlation Between Cosan SA and Ultrapar Participacoes

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Cosan SA and Ultrapar Participacoes at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Cosan SA and Ultrapar Participacoes into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Cosan SA ADR and Ultrapar Participacoes SA, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Cosan SA and Ultrapar Participacoes and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Cosan SA with a short position of Ultrapar Participacoes. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Cosan SA and Ultrapar Participacoes.

Diversification Opportunities for Cosan SA and Ultrapar Participacoes

-0.27
  Correlation Coefficient

Very good diversification

The 3 months correlation between Cosan and Ultrapar is -0.27. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Cosan SA ADR and Ultrapar Participacoes SA in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Ultrapar Participacoes and Cosan SA is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Cosan SA ADR are associated (or correlated) with Ultrapar Participacoes. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Ultrapar Participacoes has no effect on the direction of Cosan SA i.e., Cosan SA and Ultrapar Participacoes go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Cosan SA and Ultrapar Participacoes

Given the investment horizon of 90 days Cosan SA ADR is expected to under-perform the Ultrapar Participacoes. In addition to that, Cosan SA is 1.2 times more volatile than Ultrapar Participacoes SA. It trades about -0.16 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. Ultrapar Participacoes SA is currently generating about 0.16 per unit of volatility. If you would invest  285.00  in Ultrapar Participacoes SA on June 4, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  74.00  from holding Ultrapar Participacoes SA or generate 25.96% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthInsignificant
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Cosan SA ADR  vs.  Ultrapar Participacoes SA

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Cosan SA ADR 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Cosan SA ADR has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of conflicting performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain very healthy which may send shares a bit higher in October 2025. The recent disarray may also be a sign of long period up-swing for the firm investors.
Ultrapar Participacoes 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Good

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Ultrapar Participacoes SA are ranked lower than 12 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Even with relatively unfluctuating technical and fundamental indicators, Ultrapar Participacoes reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Cosan SA and Ultrapar Participacoes Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Cosan SA and Ultrapar Participacoes

The main advantage of trading using opposite Cosan SA and Ultrapar Participacoes positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Cosan SA position performs unexpectedly, Ultrapar Participacoes can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Ultrapar Participacoes will offset losses from the drop in Ultrapar Participacoes' long position.
The idea behind Cosan SA ADR and Ultrapar Participacoes SA pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Cryptocurrency Center module to build and monitor diversified portfolio of extremely risky digital assets and cryptocurrency.

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