Correlation Between Ultimus Managers and USCF ETF

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Ultimus Managers and USCF ETF at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Ultimus Managers and USCF ETF into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Ultimus Managers Trust and USCF ETF Trust, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Ultimus Managers and USCF ETF and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Ultimus Managers with a short position of USCF ETF. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Ultimus Managers and USCF ETF.

Diversification Opportunities for Ultimus Managers and USCF ETF

0.91
  Correlation Coefficient

Almost no diversification

The 3 months correlation between Ultimus and USCF is 0.91. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Ultimus Managers Trust and USCF ETF Trust in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on USCF ETF Trust and Ultimus Managers is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Ultimus Managers Trust are associated (or correlated) with USCF ETF. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of USCF ETF Trust has no effect on the direction of Ultimus Managers i.e., Ultimus Managers and USCF ETF go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Ultimus Managers and USCF ETF

Given the investment horizon of 90 days Ultimus Managers is expected to generate 2.51 times less return on investment than USCF ETF. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, Ultimus Managers Trust is 1.28 times less risky than USCF ETF. It trades about 0.11 of its potential returns per unit of risk. USCF ETF Trust is currently generating about 0.22 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  2,425  in USCF ETF Trust on August 17, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  317.00  from holding USCF ETF Trust or generate 13.07% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthVery Strong
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Ultimus Managers Trust  vs.  USCF ETF Trust

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Ultimus Managers Trust 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Fair

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Ultimus Managers Trust are ranked lower than 8 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather sound basic indicators, Ultimus Managers is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price tumult, may contribute to shorter-term losses for the shareholders.
USCF ETF Trust 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Solid

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in USCF ETF Trust are ranked lower than 17 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather weak basic indicators, USCF ETF may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in December 2025.

Ultimus Managers and USCF ETF Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Ultimus Managers and USCF ETF

The main advantage of trading using opposite Ultimus Managers and USCF ETF positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Ultimus Managers position performs unexpectedly, USCF ETF can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in USCF ETF will offset losses from the drop in USCF ETF's long position.
The idea behind Ultimus Managers Trust and USCF ETF Trust pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Equity Forecasting module to use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum.

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