Correlation Between ProShares Ultra and SPDR Gold

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both ProShares Ultra and SPDR Gold at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining ProShares Ultra and SPDR Gold into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between ProShares Ultra Silver and SPDR Gold Mini, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on ProShares Ultra and SPDR Gold and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in ProShares Ultra with a short position of SPDR Gold. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of ProShares Ultra and SPDR Gold.

Diversification Opportunities for ProShares Ultra and SPDR Gold

0.37
  Correlation Coefficient

Weak diversification

The 3 months correlation between ProShares and SPDR is 0.37. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding ProShares Ultra Silver and SPDR Gold Mini in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on SPDR Gold Mini and ProShares Ultra is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on ProShares Ultra Silver are associated (or correlated) with SPDR Gold. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of SPDR Gold Mini has no effect on the direction of ProShares Ultra i.e., ProShares Ultra and SPDR Gold go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between ProShares Ultra and SPDR Gold

Considering the 90-day investment horizon ProShares Ultra Silver is expected to generate 3.45 times more return on investment than SPDR Gold. However, ProShares Ultra is 3.45 times more volatile than SPDR Gold Mini. It trades about 0.13 of its potential returns per unit of risk. SPDR Gold Mini is currently generating about 0.01 per unit of risk. If you would invest  4,467  in ProShares Ultra Silver on May 31, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  1,036  from holding ProShares Ultra Silver or generate 23.19% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthVery Weak
Accuracy98.41%
ValuesDaily Returns

ProShares Ultra Silver  vs.  SPDR Gold Mini

 Performance 
       Timeline  
ProShares Ultra Silver 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Fair

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in ProShares Ultra Silver are ranked lower than 10 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Even with relatively conflicting technical and fundamental indicators, ProShares Ultra reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.
SPDR Gold Mini 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Mild

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days SPDR Gold Mini has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of very healthy fundamental indicators, SPDR Gold is not utilizing all of its potentials. The newest stock price disarray, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

ProShares Ultra and SPDR Gold Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with ProShares Ultra and SPDR Gold

The main advantage of trading using opposite ProShares Ultra and SPDR Gold positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if ProShares Ultra position performs unexpectedly, SPDR Gold can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in SPDR Gold will offset losses from the drop in SPDR Gold's long position.
The idea behind ProShares Ultra Silver and SPDR Gold Mini pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Backtesting module to avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios.

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