Correlation Between Assured Guaranty and AMERISAFE

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Assured Guaranty and AMERISAFE at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Assured Guaranty and AMERISAFE into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Assured Guaranty and AMERISAFE, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Assured Guaranty and AMERISAFE and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Assured Guaranty with a short position of AMERISAFE. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Assured Guaranty and AMERISAFE.

Diversification Opportunities for Assured Guaranty and AMERISAFE

-0.71
  Correlation Coefficient

Pay attention - limited upside

The 3 months correlation between Assured and AMERISAFE is -0.71. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Assured Guaranty and AMERISAFE in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on AMERISAFE and Assured Guaranty is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Assured Guaranty are associated (or correlated) with AMERISAFE. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of AMERISAFE has no effect on the direction of Assured Guaranty i.e., Assured Guaranty and AMERISAFE go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Assured Guaranty and AMERISAFE

Considering the 90-day investment horizon Assured Guaranty is expected to generate 4.27 times less return on investment than AMERISAFE. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, Assured Guaranty is 1.17 times less risky than AMERISAFE. It trades about 0.01 of its potential returns per unit of risk. AMERISAFE is currently generating about 0.05 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  4,491  in AMERISAFE on June 12, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  55.00  from holding AMERISAFE or generate 1.22% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthWeak
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Assured Guaranty  vs.  AMERISAFE

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Assured Guaranty 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Assured Guaranty has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of very healthy technical and fundamental indicators, Assured Guaranty is not utilizing all of its potentials. The recent stock price disarray, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
AMERISAFE 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in AMERISAFE are ranked lower than 1 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly stable basic indicators, AMERISAFE is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price disturbance, may contribute to mid-run losses for the stockholders.

Assured Guaranty and AMERISAFE Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Assured Guaranty and AMERISAFE

The main advantage of trading using opposite Assured Guaranty and AMERISAFE positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Assured Guaranty position performs unexpectedly, AMERISAFE can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in AMERISAFE will offset losses from the drop in AMERISAFE's long position.
The idea behind Assured Guaranty and AMERISAFE pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Backtesting module to avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios.

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