Cloudflare Stock Market Outlook
| NET Stock | USD 215.42 -5.94 -2.68% |
Slightly above 70% of Cloudflare's investor base is looking to short. The analysis of the overall prospects from investing in Cloudflare suggests that many traders are, currently, alarmed. Cloudflare's investing sentiment can be driven by a variety of factors including economic data, Cloudflare's earnings reports, geopolitical events, and overall market trends.
Investor Comfort Level
Alarmed
Panic | Confidence |
Maximum Pain Price Across 2026-06-18 Option Contracts
The 2026-06-18 options cycle in Cloudflare shows maximum pain around 210.00, where call and put positioning concentrates the most potential loss for holders. Cloudflare put concentration of 1.7 K at 100.00 versus call OI of 4.1 K at 250.00 reflects how the options market is pricing directional risk right now.
Elasticity to Hype and News Sentiment
Tracking Cloudflare moderately positive news sentiment (69%) adds context when headlines and price behavior start diverging. Comparing perception data with actual financial results can separate headline-driven pressure from genuine fundamental change.
News SentimentBullish | Hype SentimentBearish | Insider SentimentDisposing |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Cloudflare is 'Strong Hold'. Macroaxis provides Cloudflare buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding NET positions.
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Execute Cloudflare Advice
The Cloudflare recommendation serves as a cross-check against the current analyst consensus on Cloudflare. Macroaxis is independent and holds no residual interests in Cloudflare or the other equities for which advice is generated.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 | Strong Hold |  |
Market Performance | Mild | Details | |
Volatility | Very Low | Details | |
Hype Condition | Under hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Fairly Valued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Follows the market closely | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Poor | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
For the selected time horizon Cloudflare has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0522, Jensen Alpha of 0.265, Total Risk Alpha of 0.6642, Sortino Ratio of 0.073 and Treynor Ratio of 0.2981The Cloudflare trade advice serves as a second opinion on the current analyst sentiment. Macroaxis is fully independent and holds no stake in any equity covered. To confirm fair pricing, double-check all Cloudflare fundamentals, including the relationship between the cash and equivalents and target price. At a price to earning of -23.01 X, examine Cloudflare's broader market performance and downside risk before acting.
Recent Significant Events and Headlines
Returns Distribution Density
This graph charts the range of Cloudflare's past daily returns for Cloudflare. Returns near the center happen most often, while the edges show rare but large moves. Value At Risk captures the downside tail and Upside Potential captures the upside.
| Mean Return | 0.21 | Value At Risk | -7.82 | Potential Upside | 6.23 | Standard Deviation | 3.79 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Risk management for Cloudflare comes down to one question: how likely are sharp price moves? The distribution of past returns provides that answer. It gives investors the context to compare investment strategies side by side.
Top Institutional Investors
Institutions hold about 89.73% of shares while insiders own roughly 0.72%. Annual revenue is about 2.17 Billion. How the institutional base reacts to earnings changes can move Cloudflare in the short term. The business currently sits in the Information Technology sector and the Software - Infrastructure industry. Volume spikes around index rebalance dates are worth monitoring given the high institutional share.
| Shares | Sands Capital Management, Llc | 2025-12-31 | 3.7 M | Norges Bank | 2025-12-31 | 3.6 M | American Century Companies Inc | 2025-12-31 | 3.2 M | Franklin Resources Inc | 2025-09-30 | 3.2 M | Legal & General Group Plc | 2025-12-31 | 2.8 M | Ubs Asset Mgmt Americas Inc | 2025-09-30 | 2.5 M | The Goldman Sachs Group Inc | 2025-09-30 | 2.4 M | Two Sigma Advisers, Llc | 2025-12-31 | 2.3 M | Ing Investment Management Llc | 2025-12-31 | 2.3 M | Capital World Investors | 2025-12-31 | 35.8 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2025-12-31 | 32.4 M |
Cash Flow Accounts
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | ||
| Investments | -596.0M | -235.7M | -104.5M | -330.2M | -1.4B | -1.3B | |
| Change In Cash | 202.8M | -105.8M | -124.0M | 63.0M | 800.1M | 840.2M | |
| Net Borrowings | 836.8M | -16.6M | -207.6M | 0.0 | 2B | 2.1B | |
| Free Cash Flow | -43.1M | -39.8M | 119.5M | 195.4M | 324.3M | 340.5M | |
| Depreciation | 66.6M | 102.3M | 135.8M | 209.5M | 291.4M | 305.9M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 156.1M | 91.3M | 131.0M | 18.1M | 58.6M | 60.2M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 107.7M | 163.4M | 134.9M | 185.0M | 342.6M | 359.7M | |
| Net Income | -260.3M | -193.4M | -183.9M | -78.8M | -102.3M | -107.4M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 321.0M | 215.2M | 91.2M | 154.2M | 954.4M | 1.0B | |
| Change To Netincome | 39.5M | 53.6M | 179.5M | 208.1M | 239.3M | 251.3M |
Key Drivers of Volatility and Market Exposure
Cloudflare carries exposure to broad market movements as well as company or sector-specific developments. While portfolio diversification can reduce asset-level risk, systematic volatility cannot be avoided. Standard deviation and beta quantify this exposure. For Cloudflare, recent data highlights a Downside Deviation of 4.08, a Mean Deviation of 2.76, and an Option Implied Volatility of 0.78.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.27 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.67 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.90 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.08 |
Fundamentals Vs Peers
Peer comparison of Cloudflare's fundamentals is an essential component of any rigorous equity analysis. By measuring Cloudflare against companies with similar characteristics, investors can spot mispricing opportunities.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Cloudflare to competition |
| Fundamentals | Cloudflare | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | -0.0816 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | -0.0269 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | -0.05 % | -1.27 % |
| Operating Margin | -0.07 % | -5.51 % |
| Current Valuation | 78.78 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 317.58 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 0.72 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 89.73 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 8.44 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | -23.01 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 54.39 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 35.94 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 2.17 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 1.62 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 207.43 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | -102.27 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 943.54 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 4.98 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 3.7 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 2.64 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 5.35 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 4.15 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 666.87 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 1.27 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | -0.29 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 2.35 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 232.43 | |
| Number Of Employees | 5.16 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 2.03 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 77.91 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 6.04 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | -1.2 B | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 2.29 B | 1.48 B |
Note: Disposition of 2520 shares by Graham-cumming John of Cloudflare at 44.72 subject to Rule 16 b-3 [view details]
Market Momentum
Beta of 0.6685 dampens broad market moves. Cloudflare market-strength view helps distinguish trend continuation from fading momentum. For Cloudflare, these strength readings pair best with earnings momentum and volume confirmation.
| Accumulation Distribution | 183150.0 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | -0.57 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.97 | |||
| Day Median Price | 219.89 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 218.4 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | -7.44 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | -5.94 |
Current Target Price Consensus
To arrive at Cloudflare's target price, all analyst estimates are collected and averaged. Evaluating how well analysts perform requires sophisticated attribution analysis using historical data. For this reason, Cloudflare's target price projections below are most useful when supplemented with additional methods like technical analysis, sentiment indicators, and price forecasting models.
| 34 | Buy |
Cloudflare is reviewed by analysts roughly four times per year, with each update including both a rating and a target price. The target price provides context for understanding Cloudflare's fair value versus where it currently trades. Analysts base their conclusions on Cloudflare's published financials, management discussions, and broader industry research.
Macroaxis Advice Exposure ValuationCloudflare Target Price Projection
The current trading price of Cloudflare is 215.42, compared to an average analyst target of 232.43. While the market price of Cloudflare reflects real-time supply and demand, the target price embodies analysts' forward-looking estimate of what the stock is worth. A large discrepancy between the two can be a catalyst for investor activity.Current Price
Cloudflare Market Quote on 21st of March 2026
Target Price
Analyst Consensus On Cloudflare Target Price
Cloudflare Analyst Ratings
Cloudflare is rated Buy by 34 analysts. 20 are positive, 12 neutral, and 2 negative. The trend in analyst opinion is shown below.Analyst Consensus Breakdown
Average Consensus Estimates
Recommendation Framework, Assumptions & Editorial Oversight
Cloudflare's advice combines signal strength with risk framing. 34 analysts rate Cloudflare as Buy. The average target price implies 7.9% upside. Cloudflare has a ROE of -8.16%, market cap of 77.91 Billion.
This section for Cloudflare is built from periodic company reporting and market reference feeds, with harmonization applied to align reporting definitions. Professional analyst research is incorporated when coverage is available. Values may update on different source schedules.