Nuveen Churchill Direct Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| NCDL Stock | 14.40 0.09 0.62% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Nuveen Churchill Direct is 'Strong Hold'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Nuveen Churchill's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Check out Nuveen Churchill Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Nuveen and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Nuveen Churchill Direct. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in consumer price index.
Execute Nuveen Churchill Buy or Sell Advice
The Nuveen recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Nuveen Churchill Direct. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Nuveen Churchill Direct or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Nuveen Churchill's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Hold
Market Performance | Soft | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Fairly Valued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Moderate | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Slowly supersedes the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Interested | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unavailable | Details |
Nuveen Churchill Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Nuveen Churchill has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Nuveen Churchill Direct currently holds 1.11 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.04, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Nuveen Churchill Direct has a current ratio of 0.03, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Nuveen Churchill's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| On 28th of October 2025 Nuveen Churchill paid 0.45 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Will Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp. stock outperform international peers - July 2025 Trade Ideas Safe Entry Point Alerts - Newser |
Nuveen Churchill Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Nuveen Churchill's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Nuveen Churchill's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Nuveen Churchill daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Nuveen Churchill Direct price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Nuveen Churchill returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Nuveen Churchill.
| Mean Return | -0.05 | Value At Risk | -2.35 | Potential Upside | 2.17 | Standard Deviation | 1.29 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Nuveen Churchill historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Nuveen Churchill Cash Flow Accounts
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | 9.2M | 22.6M | 4.1M | 28.1M | (24.1M) | (22.9M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | 7.5M | 41.3M | 25.1M | 73.0M | 136.4M | 143.2M | |
| Change In Working Capital | 2.0M | 20.5M | (19.1M) | (6.3M) | 22.0M | 23.1M | |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 3.4M | 12.6M | 35.2M | 39.3M | 67.4M | 70.8M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | (159.3M) | (429.6M) | (453.0M) | (442.6M) | (433.6M) | (455.3M) | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 3.4M | (6.5M) | 26.9M | 3.5M | (1.9M) | (1.8M) | |
| Dividends Paid | 3.3M | 14.7M | 34.7M | 63.2M | 95.2M | 100.0M | |
| Total Cash From Operating Activities | 7.5M | 41.3M | 25.1M | 73.0M | 136.4M | 143.2M | |
| Change To Account Receivables | 1.5M | (6.2M) | (1.2M) | (7.8M) | 2.6M | 2.7M | |
| Net Income | 2.1M | 27.3M | 17.3M | 75.9M | 116.3M | 122.1M | |
| Total Cash From Financing Activities | 161.3M | 411.7M | 431.9M | 397.7M | 273.1M | 290.9M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 12.6M | 35.2M | 39.3M | 67.4M | 43.3M | 32.0M |
Nuveen Churchill Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Nuveen Churchill or Capital Markets sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Nuveen Churchill's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Nuveen stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.11 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.80 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.25 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.1 |
Nuveen Churchill Volatility Alert
Nuveen Churchill Direct exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.02 and kurtosis of 0.26. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Nuveen Churchill's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Nuveen Churchill's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Nuveen Churchill Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Nuveen Churchill's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Nuveen Churchill's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Nuveen Churchill and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Nuveen Churchill or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Nuveen Churchill's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Nuveen Churchill by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Nuveen Churchill to competition |
| Fundamentals | Nuveen Churchill | Peer Average |
| Shares Outstanding | 49.39 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 8.82 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 27.62 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 534.37 K | 4.71 M |
| Price To Book | 0.83 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 8.86 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 186 M | 9.43 B |
| EBITDA | 116.48 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 116.32 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 9.34 K | 2.7 B |
| Total Debt | 1.11 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.04 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 0.03 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 0.09 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 136.42 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 2.31 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 1.52 X | 3.12 X |
| Target Price | 16.04 | |
| Market Capitalization | 715.62 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 2.14 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (26.5 M) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | (288 K) | 1.48 B |
| Current Asset | 9 K | 9.34 B |
| Current Liabilities | 297 K | 7.9 B |
| Annual Yield | 0.12 % | |
| Net Asset | 2.14 B |
Note: Acquisition by Vichness Shaul of 5000 shares of Nuveen Churchill at 14.85 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Nuveen Churchill Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Nuveen . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 5039.85 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.45) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 14.49 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 14.46 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.13) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.09) |
About Nuveen Churchill Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Nuveen Churchill Direct? Buying financial instruments such as Nuveen Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Check out Nuveen Churchill Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the Aroon Oscillator module to analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios.
Is Asset Management & Custody Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Nuveen Churchill. If investors know Nuveen will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Nuveen Churchill listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share 1.52 |
The market value of Nuveen Churchill Direct is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Nuveen that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Nuveen Churchill's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Nuveen Churchill's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Nuveen Churchill's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Nuveen Churchill's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Nuveen Churchill's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Nuveen Churchill is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Nuveen Churchill's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.