Check Point Software Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

CHKP Stock  USD 186.01  0.91  0.49%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Check Point Software is 'Strong Hold'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated analysis based on historical performance and your stated risk tolerance. It serves as guidance on whether to purchase or sell Check Point Software within the specified time frame.Check out Check Point Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Check and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Check Point Software. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in state.

Execute Check Point Buy or Sell Advice

The Check recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Check Point Software. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Check Point Software or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Check Point's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Check PointBuy Check Point
Strong Hold

Market Performance

WeakestDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Over hypedDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

TinyDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Follows the market closelyDetails

Investor Sentiment

ImpartialDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

PoorDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Check Point Software has a Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.06), Jensen Alpha of (0.21), Total Risk Alpha of (0.31) and Treynor Ratio of (0.17)
Macroaxis provides advice on Check Point Software to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on Check Point Software. Our investment recommendation engine determines the company's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Check Point is not overpriced, please confirm all Check Point Software fundamentals, including its cash and equivalents, target price, and the relationship between the price to sales and book value per share . Given that Check Point Software has a price to earning of 21.80 X, we suggest you to validate Check Point Software market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Check Point Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Check Point Software generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Check Point Software has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
About 73.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Barclays Has Lowered Expectations for Check Point Software Technologies Stock Price

Check Point Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Check Point's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Check Point's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Check Point daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Check Point Software price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Check Point returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Check Point.
Mean Return
-0.14
Value At Risk
-2.65
Potential Upside
2.06
Standard Deviation
1.60
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Check Point historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Check Stock Institutional Investors

The Check Point's institutional investors refer to entities that pool money to purchase Check Point's securities or originate loans. These institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds.
Shares
Ubs Asset Mgmt Americas Inc2025-06-30
1.3 M
Nordea Investment Mgmt Bank Demark A/s2025-06-30
1.2 M
Fmr Inc2025-06-30
1.1 M
Clearbridge Advisors, Llc2025-06-30
M
Deutsche Bank Ag2025-06-30
M
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2025-06-30
936.4 K
Amvescap Plc.2025-06-30
868.4 K
Geode Capital Management, Llc2025-06-30
847.2 K
Northern Trust Corp2025-06-30
742.1 K
Blackrock Inc2025-06-30
6.3 M
Massachusetts Financial Services Company2025-06-30
4.9 M
Note, although Check Point's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Check Point Cash Flow Accounts

202120222023202420252026 (projected)
Change In Cash16.2M(75.9M)341.7M(31.5M)(28.4M)(26.9M)
Free Cash Flow1.2B1.1B1.0B1.0B1.2B690.9M
Depreciation30.7M36.2M47.4M83.6M96.1M100.9M
Other Non Cash Items25.1M18.7M9.9M(6.1M)(7.0M)(6.7M)
Capital Expenditures15.9M22.1M18.6M24.2M27.8M14.5M
Net Income815.6M796.9M840.3M845.7M972.6M531.3M
End Period Cash Flow271.9M196M537.7M506.2M582.1M339.2M
Investments(235.6M)(70.4M)(411.4M)(24M)(21.6M)(22.7M)
Change To Netincome121.2M133.1M120.1M149.6M172.0M123.9M

Check Point Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Check Point or Software sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Check Point's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Check stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.21
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.87
σ
Overall volatility
1.64
Ir
Information ratio -0.14

Check Point Volatility Alert

Check Point Software exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.79 and kurtosis of 2.39. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Check Point's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Check Point's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Check Point Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Check Point's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Check Point's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Check Point and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Check Point or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Check Point's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Check Point by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Check Point to competition
FundamentalsCheck PointPeer Average
Return On Equity0.34-0.31
Return On Asset0.095-0.14
Profit Margin0.38 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.29 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation17.97 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding107.35 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders23.17 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions72.51 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted5.43 M4.71 M
Price To Earning21.80 X28.72 X
Price To Book6.31 X9.51 X
Price To Sales7.40 X11.42 X
Revenue2.56 B9.43 B
Gross Profit2.36 B27.38 B
EBITDA1.06 B3.9 B
Net Income845.7 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents1.61 B2.7 B
Cash Per Share12.99 X5.01 X
Total Debt29.8 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.01 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.23 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share28.69 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations1.05 B971.22 M
Short Ratio5.24 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share9.32 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth2.22 X4.89 X
Target Price227.2
Number Of Employees6.67 K18.84 K
Beta0.59-0.15
Market Capitalization19.87 B19.03 B
Total Asset5.75 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings14.01 B9.33 B
Working Capital249.2 M1.48 B

Check Point Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Check . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

Check Point Target Price Consensus

Check target price is determined by taking all analyst projections and averaging them out. There is no one specific way to measure analysts' performance other than comparing it to past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Check Point's target price projections below should be used in combination with other traditional price prediction techniques such as stock price forecasting, investor sentiment analysis, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
   39  Buy
Most Check analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to help potential investors understand Check stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching the public financial statements of Check Point Software, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to those companies' conference calls.
Macroaxis Advice   Exposure   Valuation

Check Point Target Price Projection

Check Point's current and average target prices are 186.01 and 227.20, respectively. The current price of Check Point is the price at which Check Point Software is currently trading. On the other hand, Check Point's target price is what analysts think the stock is worth or could sell for in the future. The more significant the discrepancy between the two prices, the more it stimulates investors to act.

Current Price

Check Point Market Quote on 6th of January 2026

Low Price181.87Odds
High Price187.93Odds

186.01

Target Price

Analyst Consensus On Check Point Target Price

Low Estimate206.75Odds
High Estimate252.19Odds

227.1952

Historical Lowest Forecast  206.75 Target Price  227.2 Highest Forecast  252.19
Note that most analysts generally publish their price targets in research reports on specific companies, along with recommendations for the company's stock.Although price targets are often quoted in the financial news media, there could be a delay between the publication of the latest analyst outlook on Check Point Software and the information provided on this page.

Check Point Analyst Ratings

Check Point's analyst stock recommendations are determined by taking an average estimate of all analysts we track and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell, or Sell. Ratings generally communicate what analysts sense about Check Point stock, and they use a lot of effort and time to analyze it and arrive at a rating. That suggests that analyst recommendations are the outcome of an objective and thorough examination of Check Point's financials, market performance, and future outlook by experienced professionals. Check Point's historical ratings below, therefore, can serve as a valuable tool for investors.

Analyst Consensus Breakdown

Average Consensus Estimates

About Check Point Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Check Point Software? Buying financial instruments such as Check Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Check Point in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Plastics Theme
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You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Plastics Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Additional Tools for Check Stock Analysis

When running Check Point's price analysis, check to measure Check Point's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Check Point is operating at the current time. Most of Check Point's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Check Point's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Check Point's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Check Point to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.