Roundhill Sp 500 Etf Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Over 27.63

XDIV Etf  USD 27.63  0.06  0.22%   
Roundhill's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Roundhill SP 500. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Roundhill based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Roundhill SP 500 over a specific time period. For example, XDIV251219C00028000 is a PUT option contract on Roundhill's common stock with a strick price of 28.0 expiring on 2025-12-19. The contract was not traded in recent days and, as of today, has 48 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at an ask price of $2.35. The implied volatility as of the 1st of November is 48.0. View All Roundhill options

Closest to current price Roundhill long PUT Option Payoff at Expiration

Roundhill's future price is the expected price of Roundhill instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Roundhill SP 500 performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Roundhill Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Roundhill Correlation, Roundhill Hype Analysis, Roundhill Volatility, Roundhill History as well as Roundhill Performance.
Please specify Roundhill's target price for which you would like Roundhill odds to be computed.

Roundhill Target Price Odds to finish over 27.63

The tendency of Roundhill Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 27.63 90 days 27.63 
nearly 4.73
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Roundhill to move above the current price in 90 days from now is nearly 4.73 (This Roundhill SP 500 probability density function shows the probability of Roundhill Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Roundhill has a beta of 0.93. This entails Roundhill SP 500 market returns are correlated to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Roundhill is expected to follow. Additionally Roundhill SP 500 has an alpha of 0.0187, implying that it can generate a 0.0187 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Roundhill Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Roundhill

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Roundhill SP 500. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
26.9827.6328.28
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
27.0127.6628.31
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
27.5228.1728.82
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
26.5527.2928.03
Details

Roundhill Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Roundhill is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Roundhill's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Roundhill SP 500, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Roundhill within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.93
σ
Overall volatility
0.67
Ir
Information ratio 0.02

Roundhill Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Roundhill for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Roundhill SP 500 can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Latest headline from news.google.com: Equity Trading Insights - news.stocktradersdaily.com
The fund keeps about 42.9% of its net assets in bonds

Roundhill Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Roundhill Etf often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Roundhill's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Roundhill's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.

Roundhill Technical Analysis

Roundhill's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Roundhill Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Roundhill SP 500. In general, you should focus on analyzing Roundhill Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Roundhill Predictive Forecast Models

Roundhill's time-series forecasting models is one of many Roundhill's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Roundhill's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Roundhill SP 500

Checking the ongoing alerts about Roundhill for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Roundhill SP 500 help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Latest headline from news.google.com: Equity Trading Insights - news.stocktradersdaily.com
The fund keeps about 42.9% of its net assets in bonds
When determining whether Roundhill SP 500 is a strong investment it is important to analyze Roundhill's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Roundhill's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Roundhill Etf, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Roundhill Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Roundhill Correlation, Roundhill Hype Analysis, Roundhill Volatility, Roundhill History as well as Roundhill Performance.
You can also try the Pattern Recognition module to use different Pattern Recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges.
The market value of Roundhill SP 500 is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Roundhill that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Roundhill's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Roundhill's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Roundhill's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Roundhill's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Roundhill's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Roundhill is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Roundhill's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.