Aura Minerals Common Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 53.21
| AUGO Stock | 53.21 3.21 6.42% |
Closest to current price Aura long PUT Option Payoff at Expiration
Aura Minerals Target Price Odds to finish over 53.21
The tendency of Aura Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 53.21 | 90 days | 53.21 | about 1.52 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Aura Minerals to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 1.52 (This Aura Minerals Common probability density function shows the probability of Aura Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Aura Minerals Common has a beta of -0.18. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Aura Minerals are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Aura Minerals Common is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Aura Minerals Common has an alpha of 0.5357, implying that it can generate a 0.54 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Aura Minerals Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Aura Minerals
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Aura Minerals Common. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Aura Minerals Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Aura Minerals is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Aura Minerals' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Aura Minerals Common, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Aura Minerals within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.54 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.18 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 6.49 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.13 |
Aura Minerals Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Aura Minerals for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Aura Minerals Common can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Aura Minerals Common appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 594.16 M. Net Loss for the year was (30.27 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 413.08 M. | |
| About 48.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| On 21st of November 2025 Aura Minerals paid 0.48 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from cnbc.com: Here are the biggest IPOs of 2025 and how they performed |
Aura Minerals Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Aura Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Aura Minerals' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Aura Minerals' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 72.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 270.2 M |
Aura Minerals Technical Analysis
Aura Minerals' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Aura Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Aura Minerals Common. In general, you should focus on analyzing Aura Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Aura Minerals Predictive Forecast Models
Aura Minerals' time-series forecasting models is one of many Aura Minerals' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Aura Minerals' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Aura Minerals Common
Checking the ongoing alerts about Aura Minerals for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Aura Minerals Common help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Aura Minerals Common appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 594.16 M. Net Loss for the year was (30.27 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 413.08 M. | |
| About 48.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| On 21st of November 2025 Aura Minerals paid 0.48 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from cnbc.com: Here are the biggest IPOs of 2025 and how they performed |
Check out Aura Minerals Backtesting, Aura Minerals Valuation, Aura Minerals Correlation, Aura Minerals Hype Analysis, Aura Minerals Volatility, Aura Minerals History as well as Aura Minerals Performance. You can also try the Stock Screener module to find equities using a custom stock filter or screen asymmetry in trading patterns, price, volume, or investment outlook..
Is Metals & Mining space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Aura Minerals. If investors know Aura will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Aura Minerals listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Dividend Share 1.46 | Earnings Share (0.55) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.587 | Return On Assets |
The market value of Aura Minerals Common is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Aura that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Aura Minerals' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Aura Minerals' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Aura Minerals' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Aura Minerals' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Aura Minerals' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Aura Minerals is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Aura Minerals' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.