Beijing Global (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 22.84

300523 Stock   22.84  0.68  2.89%   
Beijing Global's future price is the expected price of Beijing Global instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Beijing Global Safety performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Beijing Global Backtesting, Beijing Global Valuation, Beijing Global Correlation, Beijing Global Hype Analysis, Beijing Global Volatility, Beijing Global History as well as Beijing Global Performance.
  
Please specify Beijing Global's target price for which you would like Beijing Global odds to be computed.

Beijing Global Target Price Odds to finish over 22.84

The tendency of Beijing Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 22.84 90 days 22.84 
about 78.81
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Beijing Global to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 78.81 (This Beijing Global Safety probability density function shows the probability of Beijing Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Beijing Global Safety has a beta of -0.46. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Beijing Global are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Beijing Global Safety is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Beijing Global Safety has an alpha of 0.2273, implying that it can generate a 0.23 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Beijing Global Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Beijing Global

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Beijing Global Safety. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
20.1622.8425.52
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
17.1719.8525.12
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
18.0820.7623.44
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
22.0724.6727.26
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Beijing Global. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Beijing Global's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Beijing Global's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Beijing Global Safety.

Beijing Global Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Beijing Global is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Beijing Global's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Beijing Global Safety, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Beijing Global within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.23
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.46
σ
Overall volatility
1.60
Ir
Information ratio 0.05

Beijing Global Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Beijing Global for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Beijing Global Safety can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company reported the revenue of 1.4 B. Net Loss for the year was (336.55 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 297.9 M.
Beijing Global generates negative cash flow from operations
About 51.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Beijing Global Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Beijing Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Beijing Global's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Beijing Global's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding233.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments664.6 M

Beijing Global Technical Analysis

Beijing Global's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Beijing Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Beijing Global Safety. In general, you should focus on analyzing Beijing Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Beijing Global Predictive Forecast Models

Beijing Global's time-series forecasting models is one of many Beijing Global's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Beijing Global's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Beijing Global Safety

Checking the ongoing alerts about Beijing Global for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Beijing Global Safety help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company reported the revenue of 1.4 B. Net Loss for the year was (336.55 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 297.9 M.
Beijing Global generates negative cash flow from operations
About 51.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in Beijing Stock

Beijing Global financial ratios help investors to determine whether Beijing Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Beijing with respect to the benefits of owning Beijing Global security.