Zhejiang Bofay (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 30.99

001255 Stock   30.99  0.51  1.62%   
Zhejiang Bofay's future price is the expected price of Zhejiang Bofay instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Zhejiang Bofay Elec performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Zhejiang Bofay Backtesting, Zhejiang Bofay Valuation, Zhejiang Bofay Correlation, Zhejiang Bofay Hype Analysis, Zhejiang Bofay Volatility, Zhejiang Bofay History as well as Zhejiang Bofay Performance.
  
Please specify Zhejiang Bofay's target price for which you would like Zhejiang Bofay odds to be computed.

Zhejiang Bofay Target Price Odds to finish over 30.99

The tendency of Zhejiang Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 30.99 90 days 30.99 
about 84.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Zhejiang Bofay to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 84.0 (This Zhejiang Bofay Elec probability density function shows the probability of Zhejiang Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Zhejiang Bofay Elec has a beta of -0.26. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Zhejiang Bofay are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Zhejiang Bofay Elec is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Zhejiang Bofay Elec has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Zhejiang Bofay Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Zhejiang Bofay

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Zhejiang Bofay Elec. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
28.6431.5334.42
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
25.0527.9434.65
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
31.8134.7137.60
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
28.2033.1338.07
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Zhejiang Bofay. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Zhejiang Bofay's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Zhejiang Bofay's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Zhejiang Bofay Elec.

Zhejiang Bofay Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Zhejiang Bofay is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Zhejiang Bofay's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Zhejiang Bofay Elec, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Zhejiang Bofay within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.26
σ
Overall volatility
1.78
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

Zhejiang Bofay Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Zhejiang Bofay for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Zhejiang Bofay Elec can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Zhejiang Bofay Elec generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 68.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees
Latest headline from news.google.com: Bofei Electric The acting-in-concert parties of the controlling shareholder and actual controller plan to reduce their holdings by no more than 2.9497 percent of the companys shares. -

Zhejiang Bofay Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Zhejiang Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Zhejiang Bofay's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Zhejiang Bofay's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding77.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments95.8 M

Zhejiang Bofay Technical Analysis

Zhejiang Bofay's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Zhejiang Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Zhejiang Bofay Elec. In general, you should focus on analyzing Zhejiang Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Zhejiang Bofay Predictive Forecast Models

Zhejiang Bofay's time-series forecasting models is one of many Zhejiang Bofay's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Zhejiang Bofay's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Zhejiang Bofay Elec

Checking the ongoing alerts about Zhejiang Bofay for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Zhejiang Bofay Elec help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Zhejiang Bofay Elec generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 68.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees
Latest headline from news.google.com: Bofei Electric The acting-in-concert parties of the controlling shareholder and actual controller plan to reduce their holdings by no more than 2.9497 percent of the companys shares. -

Other Information on Investing in Zhejiang Stock

Zhejiang Bofay financial ratios help investors to determine whether Zhejiang Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Zhejiang with respect to the benefits of owning Zhejiang Bofay security.