Zai Lab Stock Forward View - 20 Period Moving Average
| ZLAB Stock | USD 18.37 -0.50 -2.65% |
Momentum
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter -0.31 | EPS Estimate Current Year -1.91 | EPS Estimate Next Year -1.45 | Wall Street Target Price 39.1027 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter -0.42 |
This section relates Zai Lab headline activity to recent price behavior and peer context. Options positioning and short interest are used here to outline sentiment for Zai Lab.
Short Interest Profile - Zai Lab
A significant increase or decrease in Zai Lab's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Zai. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Zai Lab stock and how bullish or bearish investors.
200 Day MA 27.235 | Short Percent 0.039 | Short Ratio 5.63 | Shares Short Prior Month 3.4 M | 50 Day MA 18.581 |
Zai RSI Context
The 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Zai Lab on the next trading day is expected to be 19.26 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.96 and the sum of the absolute errors of 39.33.Zai Lab Hype-to-Price View
Investor biases related to Zai Lab's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Zai. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Zai can time the market purely based on public headlines and social.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Zai Lab's market sentiment to its price can help traders make decisions based on the overall investor consensus about Zai Lab.
Zai Lab Implied Volatility | 1.44 |
Zai Lab's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Zai Lab stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Zai Lab's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential.
The 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Zai Lab on the next trading day is expected to be 19.26 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.96 and the sum of the absolute errors of 39.33.Zai Lab after-hype prediction price | $ 18.37 |
The sentiment panel provides context that can be compared with forecasting models and technical indicators.
Historical Fundamental Analysis of Zai Lab can be used to cross-verify projections for Zai Lab. The analysis adds historical context for the projection set.Rule 16 Overview for current Zai contract
Rule 16 converts implied volatility into an estimated daily move of about 9.0% for 2026-06-18 options. This context is informational: with Zai Lab near $ 18.37, the daily move estimate is $ 1.65 .
Open Interest Profile for Zai 2026-06-18 Contracts
For Zai Lab, open interest represents outstanding option contracts and offers a snapshot of market participation and positioning.
Zai Lab Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Zai price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Zai using various technical indicators. When you analyze Zai charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 17th of March 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Zai Lab on the next trading day is expected to be 19.26 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.96 , mean absolute percentage error of 1.30 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 39.33 .Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Zai Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Zai Lab's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Zai Lab | Zai Lab Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
This next-day forecast for Zai Lab uses model performance to estimate practical downside and upside boundaries rather than a single point target alone. The projected forecast band currently runs from roughly 16.32 on the downside to about 22.20 on the upside.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 20 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Zai Lab stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Zai Lab stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 81.6189 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.1774 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.9592 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0517 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 39.3265 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Zai Lab's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion.
After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Zai Lab at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Zai Lab's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Zai Lab's historical news coverage.
Current Value
Macroaxis estimates the after-hype price of Zai Lab across a 3 months horizon to evaluate where the instrument could settle once headline distortion subsides. This view is most useful when investors want to compare sentiment-driven price extension with a more measured post-news scenario.
Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Zai Lab is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Zai Lab backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Zai Lab, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.17 | 2.94 | 0.15 | 0.11 | 8 Events | 7 Events | In 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
18.37 | 18.37 | 0.00 |
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Hype Timeline
Zai Lab is at this time traded for 18.37. The company has historical hype elasticity of 0.15, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.11. Zai is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.17%. %. The volatility of related hype on Zai Lab is about 457.94%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 18.48. About 30.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Zai Lab was at this time reported as 6.47. The company recorded a loss per share of 1.6. Zai Lab had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in 8 days. Historical Fundamental Analysis of Zai Lab can be used to cross-verify projections for Zai Lab. The analysis adds historical context for the projection set.Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Zai Lab's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Zai Lab's future price movements. Getting to know how Zai Lab's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| LEGN | Legend Biotech Corp | 0.28 | 9 per month | 0.00 | -0.11 | 5.78 | -6.02 | 19.65 | |
| IRON | Disc Medicine | 0.41 | 10 per month | 0.00 | -0.10 | 4.63 | -7.75 | 27.84 | |
| AAPG | Ascentage Pharma Group | -0.26 | 8 per month | 0.00 | -0.08 | 4.97 | -6.36 | 17.03 | |
| SRRK | Scholar Rock Holding | -1.86 | 10 per month | 0.00 | -0.04 | 5.12 | -4.53 | 14.33 | |
| IDYA | Ideaya Biosciences | 0.22 | 6 per month | 0.00 | -0.01 | 5.69 | -4.06 | 11.16 | |
| CNTA | Centessa Pharmaceuticals PLC | -0.45 | 9 per month | 0.00 | -0.04 | 4.04 | -3.54 | 11.95 | |
| XENE | Xenon Pharmaceuticals | 2.20 | 8 per month | 1.97 | 0.08 | 3.78 | -3.43 | 53.07 | |
| CDTX | Cidara Therapeutics | 0.33 | 2 per month | 1.30 | 0.14 | 5.93 | -4.54 | 105.72 | |
| TARS | Tarsus Pharmaceuticals | 1.99 | 21 per month | 0.00 | -0.09 | 4.43 | -3.91 | 12.09 | |
| APGE | Apogee Therapeutics Common | 3.56 | 9 per month | 0.00 | -0.0035 | 4.97 | -4.24 | 16.66 |
Other Forecasting Options for Zai Lab
For every potential investor in Zai, whether a beginner or expert, Zai Lab's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better.Zai Lab Related Equities
The following equities are related to Zai Lab within the Health Care space and can be used for peer comparison, relative valuation, or portfolio diversification. Comparing Zai Lab against peers on metrics such as P/E, margins, and return on equity helps contextualize its positioning and identify relative strengths or weaknesses.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Zai Lab Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Zai Lab stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Zai Lab shares will generate the highest return on.
Zai Lab Risk Indicators
The analysis of Zai Lab's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Zai Lab's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it.
| Mean Deviation | 2.19 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.9 | |||
| Variance | 8.38 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Zai Lab
A coverage review of Zai Lab helps investors see when the security is attracting above-average attention from contributors and market observers. The practical risk is that faster visibility can increase both interest and skepticism at the same time.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Zai Lab Short Properties
A short-interest review of Zai Lab helps investors understand whether skepticism in the market is becoming more influential. This is most valuable when investors want to know whether bearish pressure is starting to shape the market's reaction function.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 109.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 689.6 M |
More Resources for Zai Stock Analysis
Understanding Zai Lab typically begins with financial statements and long-term trend review. Financial ratios provide a structured lens for assessing Zai Lab's profitability and growth trends. Below are reports that help frame Zai Lab Stock in context:Historical Fundamental Analysis of Zai Lab can be used to cross-verify projections for Zai Lab. The analysis adds historical context for the projection set. For information on how to trade Zai Stock refer to our How to Trade Zai Stock guide.Zai Lab currently shows ROE of -22.56%, market cap of 2.03 Billion. Zai Lab analysis should be paired with portfolio risk and diversification tools before adjusting allocations. Within the Healthcare space, Zai Lab peer comparison and risk tools below help frame relative strengths and weaknesses. You can also try the Volatility Analysis module to get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data.
Earnings Share -1.60 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.17 | Return On Assets | Return On Equity |
Market capitalization and book value offer complementary views of Zai Lab - the first driven by investor sentiment, the second by accounting standards. Zai Lab's market capitalization is 2.03 B. At P/B 2.84, Zai Lab trades moderately above book value. Enterprise value stands at 1.56 B. Intrinsic value represents an estimate of underlying worth and can differ from both market price and book value. Valuation methods compare these perspectives to frame context.
Note that Zai Lab's intrinsic value and market price are different measures derived from different inputs. For Zai Lab, key inputs include a P/B ratio of 2.84, a profit margin of -38.15%, ROE of -22.56%, and revenue of 460.16 M. Zai Lab market price reflects the current exchange level formed by active bids and offers.