Zenvia Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

ZENV Stock  USD 0.90  0.02  2.27%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Zenvia Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 0.90 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.64. Zenvia Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength indicator of Zenvia's share price is below 20 . This usually means that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Zenvia's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Zenvia and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Zenvia's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Zenvia Inc, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Zenvia's stock price prediction:
EPS Estimate Current Year
(1.13)
EPS Estimate Next Year
(0.22)
Wall Street Target Price
1.4253
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
(0.13)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.236
Using Zenvia hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Zenvia Inc from the perspective of Zenvia response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Zenvia Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 0.90 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.64.

Zenvia after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 0.92  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Zenvia to cross-verify your projections.
At this time, Zenvia's Inventory Turnover is fairly stable compared to the past year. Asset Turnover is likely to climb to 0.81 in 2026, whereas Payables Turnover is likely to drop 1.63 in 2026. . Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to drop to about 44.9 M in 2026. Net Loss is likely to climb to about (207.8 M) in 2026.

Zenvia Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Zenvia price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Zenvia using various technical indicators. When you analyze Zenvia charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Zenvia simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Zenvia Inc are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Zenvia Inc prices get older.

Zenvia Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 23rd of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Zenvia Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 0.90 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.64.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Zenvia Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Zenvia's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Zenvia Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest ZenviaZenvia Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Zenvia Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Zenvia's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Zenvia's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 4.08, respectively. We have considered Zenvia's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.90
0.90
Expected Value
4.08
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Zenvia stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Zenvia stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria111.5555
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0079
MADMean absolute deviation0.0269
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0233
SAESum of the absolute errors1.64
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Zenvia Inc forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Zenvia observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Zenvia

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Zenvia Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.050.924.07
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.040.874.02
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
1.301.431.58
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.000.000.00
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Zenvia

For every potential investor in Zenvia, whether a beginner or expert, Zenvia's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Zenvia Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Zenvia. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Zenvia's price trends.

Zenvia Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Zenvia stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Zenvia could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Zenvia by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Zenvia Inc Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Zenvia's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Zenvia's current price.

Zenvia Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Zenvia stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Zenvia shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Zenvia stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Zenvia Inc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Zenvia Risk Indicators

The analysis of Zenvia's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Zenvia's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting zenvia stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
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Additional Tools for Zenvia Stock Analysis

When running Zenvia's price analysis, check to measure Zenvia's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Zenvia is operating at the current time. Most of Zenvia's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Zenvia's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Zenvia's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Zenvia to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.