Wintrust Financial Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| WTFC Stock | USD 138.07 -5.04 -3.52% |
Momentum 42
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.194 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 2.86 | EPS Estimate Current Year 12.3753 | EPS Estimate Next Year 13.4116 | Wall Street Target Price 172.4286 |
Hype-based context for Wintrust Financial connects recent headlines with price response and peer activity. This sentiment summary combines Wintrust Financial's options data with short interest context.
Short Interest Snapshot - Wintrust Financial
Short interest in Wintrust Financial is a useful contrarian indicator. Extreme levels of short interest can precede sharp short-covering rallies if positive news surprises the market.
200 Day MA 134.5132 | Short Percent 0.0385 | Short Ratio 3.87 | Shares Short Prior Month 1.9 M | 50 Day MA 148.3186 |
RSI Overview - Wintrust
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Wintrust Financial on the next trading day is expected to be 138.07 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.26 and the sum of the absolute errors of 133.23.Hype and Price Pattern for Wintrust Financial
Wintrust Financial's news sentiment aggregates headline tone and social media engagement to build a real-time gauge of investor psychology around Wintrust. Sentiment extremes often precede price reversals.
The correlation between Wintrust Financial's news sentiment and price provides a measurable basis for market timing. A strong positive correlation suggests sentiment is currently driving price; a negative one may indicate a potential reversal.
Wintrust Financial Implied Volatility | 0.82 |
Unlike historical volatility, which measures past price movements, Wintrust Financial's implied volatility is a real-time gauge of how much uncertainty the options market is pricing into Wintrust Financial's future price action.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Wintrust Financial on the next trading day is expected to be 138.07 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.26 and the sum of the absolute errors of 133.23.Wintrust Financial after-hype prediction price | USD 138.07 |
This sentiment layer is designed to be read with forecasting, technical, analyst, earnings, and momentum context.
Use Historical Fundamental Analysis of Wintrust Financial to cross-verify projections for Wintrust Financial. The historical series provides projection context.Rule 16 for the current Wintrust contract - Risk Context
Using the Rule 16 heuristic, the current implied volatility suggests an average daily move of about 0.0513% for the 2026-03-20 options. The figure is a neutral volatility reference; near USD 138.07, it implies about USD 0.0708 per day.
Open Interest vs. 2026-03-20 Wintrust Options
The open interest view shows outstanding Wintrust Financial option contracts, providing context on participation and contract flow.
Wintrust Financial Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Wintrust price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Wintrust using various technical indicators. When you analyze Wintrust charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Wintrust Financial Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 10th of March
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Wintrust Financial on the next trading day is expected to be 138.07 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.26 , mean absolute percentage error of 8.59 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 133.23 .Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Wintrust Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Wintrust Financial's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Wintrust Financial Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Wintrust Financial | Wintrust Financial Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Wintrust Financial Forecasted Value
This next-day forecast for Wintrust Financial uses model performance to estimate practical downside and upside boundaries rather than a single point target alone. Investors should still remember that no empirical framework consistently proves that one family of forecasting models will outperform all other approaches in live markets.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Wintrust Financial stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Wintrust Financial stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.5855 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0217 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 2.2581 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0153 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 133.23 |
Mean reversion in Wintrust Financial's price occurs when temporary dislocations - caused by sentiment extremes, news events, or liquidity shocks - correct back toward the stock's historical fair value.
Wintrust Financial After-Hype Price Density Analysis
Understanding Wintrust Financial's probability distribution helps investors calibrate position size to their risk tolerance. The tails of the Wintrust Financial distribution capture low-probability but high-impact outcomes that naive point estimates ignore.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Wintrust Financial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
Using Wintrust Financial's historical news impact data, we estimate the likely price corridor for the next trading session after a significant headline. Wintrust Financial's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 136.23 and 139.91, respectively. Note that past news reactions for Wintrust Financial are not guaranteed to repeat, particularly in novel market environments.
Current Value
The after-hype framework applied to Wintrust Financial assumes a 3 months review window and focuses on post-sentiment normalization rather than raw momentum. This view is most useful when investors want to compare sentiment-driven price extension with a more measured post-news scenario.
Wintrust Financial Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Wintrust Financial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Wintrust Financial backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Wintrust Financial, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.05 | 1.84 | 0.05 | 0.02 | 12 Events | 8 Events | In 12 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
138.07 | 138.07 | 0.00 |
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Wintrust Financial Hype Timeline
Wintrust Financial is at this time traded for 138.07. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.05, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.02. Wintrust is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 185.86%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.05%. %. The volatility of related hype on Wintrust Financial is about 458.85%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 138.09. About 97.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 1.35. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. Wintrust Financial has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.17. The entity recorded earning per share (EPS) of 11.41. The firm last dividend was issued on the 5th of February 2026. Wintrust Financial completed a 3:2 stock split on 15th of March 2002. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in 12 days. Use Historical Fundamental Analysis of Wintrust Financial to cross-verify projections for Wintrust Financial. The historical series provides projection context.Wintrust Financial Related Hype Analysis
Understanding how Wintrust Financial's direct competitors react to news events helps investors anticipate contagion effects and sector-wide sentiment shifts that may affect Wintrust Financial's performance.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ONB | Old National Bancorp | -0.05 | 10 per month | 1.87 | 0.03 | 2.63 | -2.58 | 11.09 | |
| UMBF | UMB Financial | 0.13 | 10 per month | 1.73 | 0.01 | 2.79 | -2.40 | 11.18 | |
| WAL | Western Alliance Bancorporation | 2.91 | 8 per month | 0.00 | -0.05 | 3.61 | -4.27 | 16.61 | |
| BPOP | Popular | 1.62 | 12 per month | 1.69 | 0.11 | 2.90 | -2.71 | 11.31 | |
| CFG | Citizens Financial Group | 0.56 | 10 per month | 1.68 | 0.06 | 2.78 | -2.52 | 12.85 | |
| CFR | CullenFrost Bankers | 1.06 | 10 per month | 1.07 | 0.1 | 2.65 | -1.58 | 7.75 | |
| WBS | Webster Financial | -0.11 | 11 per month | 1.15 | 0.12 | 2.10 | -1.78 | 12.70 | |
| FHN | First Horizon National | 0.89 | 9 per month | 1.74 | 0.02 | 1.85 | -2.88 | 9.14 | |
| CBSH | Commerce Bancshares | -0.12 | 9 per month | 0.00 | -0.02 | 2.39 | -2.12 | 7.89 | |
| ZION | Zions Bancorporation | -2.88 | 13 per month | 2.12 | 0.03 | 2.25 | -3.19 | 11.97 |
Other Forecasting Options for Wintrust Financial
The price movement of Wintrust is a central concern for all potential investors, regardless of their level of expertise. Wintrust Stock price charts can be difficult to interpret due to the noise present in the data.Wintrust Financial Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Wintrust Financial stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Wintrust Financial could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Wintrust Financial by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Wintrust Financial Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators applied to Wintrust Financial stock help investors assess the relative momentum and resilience of the security in different market environments. By using these indicators, traders can make more informed decisions about when to buy or sell Wintrust Financial.
Wintrust Financial Risk Indicators
Risk indicator analysis for Wintrust Financial's is essential for accurately projecting its future price trajectory. By identifying the level of risk embedded in Wintrust Financial's investment, investors can make informed decisions about position sizing and risk mitigation.
| Mean Deviation | 1.29 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.79 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.78 | |||
| Variance | 3.18 | |||
| Downside Variance | 3.58 | |||
| Semi Variance | 3.21 | |||
| Expected Short fall | -1.30 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Wintrust Financial
Coverage intensity for Wintrust Financial matters because narrative visibility can influence sentiment, participation, and volatility around the name. The stronger process compares story flow with performance, theme classification, and the level of short-term market interest.
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Wintrust Financial Short Properties
Short sentiment tied to Wintrust Financial matters because heavier bearish pressure can change how quickly future price expectations become unstable. Used correctly, these measures can help investors decide when hedging or timing discipline may matter more than conviction alone.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 67.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 6.7 B |
More Resources for Wintrust Stock Analysis
A structured review of Wintrust Financial often starts with core financial statements and trend context. Ratios and trend metrics help frame Wintrust Financial's operating context. Key reports that frame Wintrust Financial Stock are listed below:Use Historical Fundamental Analysis of Wintrust Financial to cross-verify projections for Wintrust Financial. The historical series provides projection context. To learn how to invest in Wintrust Stock, please use our How to Invest in Wintrust Financial guide.Analysis related to Wintrust Financial should be read together with other portfolio and risk tools before capital is reallocated. That is especially important when the goal is to improve the overall mix of instruments already held. You can also try the Economic Indicators module to top statistical indicators that provide insights into how an economy is performing.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.194 | Dividend Share 2 | Earnings Share 11.41 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.105 |
The market value of Wintrust Financial is measured differently than book value, which reflects Wintrust accounting equity. Intrinsic value is an analytical estimate of Wintrust Financial's underlying worth that can differ from price and book value. Prices respond to market conditions and behavior, which can widen gaps versus fundamentals. Valuation methods help interpret those gaps.
Note that Wintrust Financial's intrinsic value and market price are different measures derived from different inputs. A full view may include fundamental ratios, momentum patterns, industry dynamics, and analyst estimates. Market price reflects the current exchange level formed by active bids and offers.