Workiva Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

WK Stock  USD 86.25  0.03  0.03%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Workiva on the next trading day is expected to be 86.01 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.32 and the sum of the absolute errors of 77.73. Workiva Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Workiva's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Workiva's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Workiva fundamentals over time.
As of now the relative strength indicator of Workiva's share price is below 20 . This entails that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Workiva's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Workiva, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Workiva's stock price prediction:
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.6135
EPS Estimate Current Year
1.6362
EPS Estimate Next Year
2.1939
Wall Street Target Price
106.2727
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
0.3854
Using Workiva hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Workiva from the perspective of Workiva response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Workiva using Workiva's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Workiva using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Workiva's stock price.

Workiva Short Interest

An investor who is long Workiva may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Workiva and may potentially protect profits, hedge Workiva with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
77.9325
Short Percent
0.1042
Short Ratio
7
Shares Short Prior Month
3.8 M
50 Day MA
88.9276

Workiva Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Workiva's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Workiva. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Workiva can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Workiva. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Workiva's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Workiva.

Workiva Implied Volatility

    
  0.37  
Workiva's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Workiva stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Workiva's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Workiva stock will not fluctuate a lot when Workiva's options are near their expiration.
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Workiva on the next trading day is expected to be 86.01 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.32 and the sum of the absolute errors of 77.73.

Workiva after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 86.25  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Workiva to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Workiva Stock please use our How to buy in Workiva Stock guide.At this time, Workiva's Receivables Turnover is quite stable compared to the past year. Fixed Asset Turnover is expected to rise to 20.77 this year, although the value of Payables Turnover will most likely fall to 16.46. . The value of Common Stock Shares Outstanding is expected to slide to about 47.4 M. The value of Net Loss is expected to slide to about (52 M).

Open Interest Against 2026-02-20 Workiva Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Workiva's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Workiva's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Workiva stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Workiva's open interest, investors have to compare it to Workiva's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Workiva is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Workiva. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Workiva Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Workiva price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Workiva using various technical indicators. When you analyze Workiva charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Triple exponential smoothing for Workiva - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Workiva prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Workiva price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Workiva.

Workiva Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 3rd of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Workiva on the next trading day is expected to be 86.01 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.32, mean absolute percentage error of 3.17, and the sum of the absolute errors of 77.73.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Workiva Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Workiva's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Workiva Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest WorkivaWorkiva Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Workiva Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Workiva's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Workiva's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 84.18 and 87.84, respectively. We have considered Workiva's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
86.25
86.01
Expected Value
87.84
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Workiva stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Workiva stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.2375
MADMean absolute deviation1.3175
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0149
SAESum of the absolute errors77.7338
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Workiva observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Workiva observations.

Predictive Modules for Workiva

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Workiva. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
84.4286.2588.08
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
79.0180.8494.88
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
84.2488.7293.19
Details
13 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
96.71106.27117.96
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Workiva

For every potential investor in Workiva, whether a beginner or expert, Workiva's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Workiva Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Workiva. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Workiva's price trends.

Workiva Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Workiva stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Workiva could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Workiva by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Workiva Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Workiva's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Workiva's current price.

Workiva Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Workiva stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Workiva shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Workiva stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Workiva entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Workiva Risk Indicators

The analysis of Workiva's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Workiva's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting workiva stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Workiva to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Workiva Stock please use our How to buy in Workiva Stock guide.
You can also try the Portfolio Diagnostics module to use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings.
Is Application Software space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Workiva. If investors know Workiva will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Workiva listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(0.83)
Revenue Per Share
15.071
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.208
Return On Assets
(0.03)
Return On Equity
(27.63)
The market value of Workiva is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Workiva that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Workiva's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Workiva's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Workiva's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Workiva's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Workiva's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Workiva is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Workiva's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.