GeneDx Holdings Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

WGS Stock   109.28  4.72  4.51%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of GeneDx Holdings Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 111.40 with a mean absolute deviation of 6.90 and the sum of the absolute errors of 427.65. GeneDx Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of GeneDx Holdings' share price is below 20 . This entails that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of GeneDx Holdings' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of GeneDx Holdings and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from GeneDx Holdings' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with GeneDx Holdings Corp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting GeneDx Holdings' stock price prediction:
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.61
EPS Estimate Current Year
1.3729
EPS Estimate Next Year
0.3775
Wall Street Target Price
170.8889
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
0.4229
Using GeneDx Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of GeneDx Holdings Corp from the perspective of GeneDx Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards GeneDx Holdings using GeneDx Holdings' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards GeneDx using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of GeneDx Holdings' stock price.

GeneDx Holdings Short Interest

An investor who is long GeneDx Holdings may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about GeneDx Holdings and may potentially protect profits, hedge GeneDx Holdings with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
109.2767
Short Percent
0.2118
Short Ratio
7.78
Shares Short Prior Month
3.4 M
50 Day MA
141.4879

GeneDx Holdings Corp Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to GeneDx Holdings' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in GeneDx. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding GeneDx can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around GeneDx Holdings Corp. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of GeneDx Holdings' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about GeneDx Holdings.

GeneDx Holdings Implied Volatility

    
  0.79  
GeneDx Holdings' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of GeneDx Holdings Corp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if GeneDx Holdings' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that GeneDx Holdings stock will not fluctuate a lot when GeneDx Holdings' options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of GeneDx Holdings Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 111.40 with a mean absolute deviation of 6.90 and the sum of the absolute errors of 427.65.

GeneDx Holdings after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 109.28  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of GeneDx Holdings to cross-verify your projections.
Inventory Turnover is likely to drop to 9.00 in 2026. Payables Turnover is likely to drop to 6.77 in 2026. Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to gain to about 32.5 M in 2026, despite the fact that Net Loss is likely to grow to (469.4 M).

Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 GeneDx Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast GeneDx Holdings' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in GeneDx Holdings' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for GeneDx Holdings stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current GeneDx Holdings' open interest, investors have to compare it to GeneDx Holdings' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of GeneDx Holdings is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in GeneDx. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

GeneDx Holdings Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine GeneDx price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for GeneDx using various technical indicators. When you analyze GeneDx charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the GeneDx Holdings' financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2020-12-31
Previous Quarter
74.1 M
Current Value
96 M
Quarterly Volatility
121.3 M
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for GeneDx Holdings is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of GeneDx Holdings Corp value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

GeneDx Holdings Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 17th of January 2026

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of GeneDx Holdings Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 111.40 with a mean absolute deviation of 6.90, mean absolute percentage error of 71.15, and the sum of the absolute errors of 427.65.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict GeneDx Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that GeneDx Holdings' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

GeneDx Holdings Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest GeneDx HoldingsGeneDx Holdings Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

GeneDx Holdings Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting GeneDx Holdings' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. GeneDx Holdings' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 107.84 and 114.96, respectively. We have considered GeneDx Holdings' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
109.28
107.84
Downside
111.40
Expected Value
114.96
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of GeneDx Holdings stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent GeneDx Holdings stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria124.2132
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation6.8976
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.05
SAESum of the absolute errors427.6517
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of GeneDx Holdings Corp. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict GeneDx Holdings. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for GeneDx Holdings

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as GeneDx Holdings Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
105.69109.28112.87
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
98.04101.63120.21
Details
6 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
155.51170.89189.69
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.010.090.17
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as GeneDx Holdings. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against GeneDx Holdings' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, GeneDx Holdings' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in GeneDx Holdings Corp.

Other Forecasting Options for GeneDx Holdings

For every potential investor in GeneDx, whether a beginner or expert, GeneDx Holdings' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. GeneDx Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in GeneDx. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying GeneDx Holdings' price trends.

GeneDx Holdings Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with GeneDx Holdings stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of GeneDx Holdings could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing GeneDx Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

GeneDx Holdings Corp Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of GeneDx Holdings' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of GeneDx Holdings' current price.

GeneDx Holdings Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how GeneDx Holdings stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading GeneDx Holdings shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying GeneDx Holdings stock market strength indicators, traders can identify GeneDx Holdings Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

GeneDx Holdings Risk Indicators

The analysis of GeneDx Holdings' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in GeneDx Holdings' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting genedx stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

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Additional Tools for GeneDx Stock Analysis

When running GeneDx Holdings' price analysis, check to measure GeneDx Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy GeneDx Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of GeneDx Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of GeneDx Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move GeneDx Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of GeneDx Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.