Waste Connections Stock Forward View - Simple Regression
| WCN Stock | USD 167.60 0.00 0.00% |
Waste Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Waste Connections' naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Waste Connections' systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Waste Connections fundamentals over time.
As of today, the relative strength index (RSI) of Waste Connections' share price is approaching 47. This entails that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Waste Connections, making its price go up or down. Momentum 47
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.07) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.3002 | EPS Estimate Current Year 5.1406 | EPS Estimate Next Year 5.6249 | Wall Street Target Price 204.25 |
Using Waste Connections hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Waste Connections from the perspective of Waste Connections response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Waste Connections using Waste Connections' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Waste using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Waste Connections' stock price.
Waste Connections Short Interest
An investor who is long Waste Connections may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Waste Connections and may potentially protect profits, hedge Waste Connections with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 180.6292 | Short Percent 0.0093 | Short Ratio 1.49 | Shares Short Prior Month 2.4 M | 50 Day MA 172.2356 |
Waste Relative Strength Index
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Waste Connections on the next trading day is expected to be 170.69 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.78 and the sum of the absolute errors of 234.22.Waste Connections Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Waste Connections' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Waste. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Waste can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Waste Connections. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Waste Connections' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Waste Connections.
Waste Connections Implied Volatility | 0.4 |
Waste Connections' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Waste Connections stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Waste Connections' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Waste Connections stock will not fluctuate a lot when Waste Connections' options are near their expiration.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Waste Connections on the next trading day is expected to be 170.69 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.78 and the sum of the absolute errors of 234.22. Waste Connections after-hype prediction price | USD 167.64 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Waste Connections to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Waste contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Waste Connections will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.025% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Waste Connections trading at USD 167.6, that is roughly USD 0.0419 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Waste Connections' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Waste Connections options at the current volatility level of 0.4%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Waste Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Waste Connections' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Waste Connections' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Waste Connections stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Waste Connections' open interest, investors have to compare it to Waste Connections' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Waste Connections is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Waste. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Waste Connections Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Waste price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Waste using various technical indicators. When you analyze Waste charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Waste Connections Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 1st of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Waste Connections on the next trading day is expected to be 170.69 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.78, mean absolute percentage error of 18.07, and the sum of the absolute errors of 234.22.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Waste Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Waste Connections' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Waste Connections Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Waste Connections | Waste Connections Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Waste Connections Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Waste Connections' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Waste Connections' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 169.58 and 171.80, respectively. We have considered Waste Connections' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Waste Connections stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Waste Connections stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 122.8428 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 3.7778 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0221 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 234.2248 |
Predictive Modules for Waste Connections
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Waste Connections. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Waste Connections' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Waste Connections After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Waste Connections at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Waste Connections or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Waste Connections, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Waste Connections Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Waste Connections' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Waste Connections' historical news coverage. Waste Connections' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 166.53 and 168.75, respectively. We have considered Waste Connections' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Waste Connections is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Waste Connections is based on 3 months time horizon.
Waste Connections Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Waste Connections is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Waste Connections backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Waste Connections, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.03 | 1.11 | 0.04 | 0.04 | 9 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
167.60 | 167.64 | 0.02 |
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Waste Connections Hype Timeline
On the 31st of January Waste Connections is traded for 167.60. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.04, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.04. Waste is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 167.64 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 77.08%. The price boost on the next news is projected to be 0.02%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.03%. The volatility of related hype on Waste Connections is about 75.72%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 167.64. The company reported the last year's revenue of 8.92 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 616.57 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 3.94 B. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Waste Connections to cross-verify your projections.Waste Connections Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Waste Connections' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Waste Connections' future price movements. Getting to know how Waste Connections' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Waste Connections may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| FER | Ferrovial SE | (0.46) | 9 per month | 0.98 | 0.04 | 2.60 | (1.93) | 6.80 | |
| AME | Ametek Inc | 4.06 | 8 per month | 0.51 | 0.17 | 2.39 | (1.34) | 9.36 | |
| GWW | WW Grainger | (3.47) | 9 per month | 1.03 | 0.09 | 2.85 | (1.69) | 7.07 | |
| PAYX | Paychex | (0.23) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.23) | 2.32 | (3.16) | 6.16 | |
| FERG | Ferguson Plc | (3.05) | 8 per month | 2.05 | 0 | 2.77 | (2.56) | 11.07 | |
| FAST | Fastenal Company | 0.67 | 7 per month | 1.16 | (0.02) | 2.01 | (1.98) | 6.62 | |
| HEI | Heico | 0.66 | 11 per month | 1.29 | 0.01 | 2.42 | (2.28) | 8.20 | |
| RSG | Republic Services | 3.02 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 1.74 | (1.50) | 4.33 | |
| ROK | Rockwell Automation | 12.54 | 11 per month | 1.22 | 0.14 | 2.73 | (1.91) | 8.52 | |
| CARR | Carrier Global Corp | 0.92 | 9 per month | 1.35 | 0.01 | 4.09 | (2.24) | 6.93 |
Other Forecasting Options for Waste Connections
For every potential investor in Waste, whether a beginner or expert, Waste Connections' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Waste Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Waste. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Waste Connections' price trends.Waste Connections Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Waste Connections stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Waste Connections could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Waste Connections by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Waste Connections Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Waste Connections stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Waste Connections shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Waste Connections stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Waste Connections entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 24913.65 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 166.26 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 166.71 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 1.34 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 47.47 |
Waste Connections Risk Indicators
The analysis of Waste Connections' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Waste Connections' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting waste stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.8927 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.19 | |||
| Variance | 1.41 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Waste Connections
The number of cover stories for Waste Connections depends on current market conditions and Waste Connections' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Waste Connections is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Waste Connections' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Waste Connections Short Properties
Waste Connections' future price predictability will typically decrease when Waste Connections' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Waste Connections often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Waste Connections' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Waste Connections' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 258.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 62.4 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Waste Connections to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Waste Stock, please use our How to Invest in Waste Connections guide.You can also try the Portfolio File Import module to quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format.
Will Environmental & Facilities Services sector continue expanding? Could Waste diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Waste Connections. Anticipated expansion of Waste directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Waste Connections data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.07) | Dividend Share 1.26 | Earnings Share 2.41 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.051 |
Understanding Waste Connections requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Waste's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value—what Waste Connections' is actually worth based on fundamentals—guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Waste Connections' price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Waste Connections' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Waste Connections is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. In contrast, Waste Connections' trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.