Victrex Plc Pink Sheet Forward View - Polynomial Regression
| VTXPF Stock | USD 8.50 0.00 0.00% |
Victrex plc's Polynomial Regression reference page covers the model's projected value and error measures from recent price data. The forecast output and associated deviation metrics are shown for informational use.
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Victrex plc on the next trading day is expected to be 8.46 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.06 and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.70.A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the Victrex Plc historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm All Polynomial Regression forecast figures shown for Victrex plc are reference data reflecting model output based on available historical prices. Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 27th of March
Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Victrex plc on the next trading day is expected to be 8.46 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.06 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.01 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.70 .Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Victrex Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Victrex Plc's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
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Forecasted Value
For the next trading day, Macroaxis evaluates Victrex Plc's predictive range by looking for statistically meaningful downside and upside boundaries. The projected forecast band currently runs from roughly 7.44 on the downside to about 9.47 on the upside.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Victrex Plc pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Victrex Plc pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 113.6095 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0606 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0073 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 3.6965 |
Other Forecasting Options for Victrex Plc
Bollinger Bands applied to Victrex Pink Sheet price data measure how far Victrex has deviated from its recent average relative to its own volatility. This distinction drives the choice of forecasting model applied to Victrex Plc's price data.Victrex Plc Related Equities
Checking Victrex Plc against related firms within the Specialty Chemicals space helps investors see where the stock stands among peers. Revenue and margin checks across this group help investors set expectations for Victrex Plc's results.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Victrex Plc Market Strength Events
For investors tracking Victrex plc, market strength indicators offer quantitative evaluation of pink sheet behavior. These indicators add context to timing decisions around Victrex plc positions.
Victrex Plc Risk Indicators
Analyzing Victrex Plc's basic risk indicators provides investors with a structured view of the risk-return trade-off for victrex pink sheet. By identifying the level of risk embedded in Victrex Plc's investment, investors can make informed decisions about position sizing.
| Mean Deviation | 0.1732 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.9768 | |||
| Variance | 0.9542 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Victrex Plc
The amount of media and story coverage tied to Victrex plc can signal where market attention is concentrating at the moment. This is most useful when investors want to understand why a security is suddenly drawing more public discussion.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Macroaxis story coverage is designed for a broad investing audience that ranges from self-directed traders to advisers, researchers, and institutional market participants. The content is intended to support people who want a more structured path from headline information to portfolio action.
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Victrex Plc Short Properties
Short sentiment tied to Victrex plc matters because heavier bearish pressure can change how quickly future price expectations become unstable. The practical goal is to identify when the balance between long and short participation may be changing the quality of the setup.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 87 M | |
| Dividends Paid | 95.2 M | |
| Short Long Term Debt | 900 K |
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Other Information on Investing in Victrex Pink Sheet
Victrex Plc financial ratios describe how key financial values relate to each other. Values are aligned to support consistent measurement over time.