Vitesse Energy Stock Forward View - Triple Exponential Smoothing
| VTS Stock | 18.66 -0.77 -3.96% |
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecast reference data for Vitesse Energy is based on the equity's recent trading history. Forecast values and accuracy indicators are summarized on this page for reference. This reference information is provided for analytical context.
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Vitesse Energy on the next trading day is expected to be 18.60 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.41 and the sum of the absolute errors of 23.91.As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Vitesse Energy observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Vitesse Energy observations. The Triple Exponential Smoothing projections for Vitesse Energy are reference data based on historical daily prices and are provided as informational context. Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 28th of March
Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Vitesse Energy on the next trading day is expected to be 18.60 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.41 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.27 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 23.91 .Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Vitesse Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Vitesse Energy's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Vitesse Energy | Vitesse Energy Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
This next-day forecast for Vitesse Energy uses model performance to estimate practical downside and upside boundaries rather than a single point target alone. The current forecast range spans downside near 16.16 and upside near 21.04.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Vitesse Energy stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Vitesse Energy stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0571 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.4053 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0205 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 23.91 |
Other Forecasting Options for Vitesse Energy
Volatility clustering is a well-documented feature of Vitesse Stock price data where periods of large moves tend to follow other large moves. When Vitesse Energy's RSI reaches extreme levels, it often precedes a short-term price correction or consolidation. Seasonal patterns in Vitesse Energy's returns can persist when driven by structural factors like earnings calendars or index rebalancing.Vitesse Energy Related Equities
These related stocks within the Energy space give benchmarks for judging Vitesse Energy's results, margins, and growth trend. Return on equity across these peers shows how well each firm turns capital into profit.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Vitesse Energy Market Strength Events
Analyzing market strength indicators for Vitesse Energy enables investors to understand relative stock momentum. These tools help identify favorable windows for position changes in Vitesse Energy. Market strength indicators support more precise timing of Vitesse Energy positions across market cycles.
Vitesse Energy Risk Indicators
Identifying and analyzing Vitesse Energy's key risk indicators is a foundational step in projecting how its price may evolve. This process involves measuring the level of investment risk in Vitesse Energy's and determining how best to manage it. Studying Vitesse Energy's risk indicators helps investors understand the risk level of vitesse stock.
| Mean Deviation | 1.77 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.73 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.37 | |||
| Variance | 5.6 | |||
| Downside Variance | 7.8 | |||
| Semi Variance | 7.47 | |||
| Expected Short fall | -1.74 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Vitesse Energy
Coverage intensity for Vitesse Energy matters because narrative visibility can influence sentiment, participation, and volatility around the name. The practical risk is that faster visibility can increase both interest and skepticism at the same time.
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Vitesse Energy Short Properties
A short-interest review of Vitesse Energy provides context for understanding whether skepticism in the market is becoming more influential. A disciplined short-interest review can make timing decisions more informed under rising skepticism.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 39.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.3 M |
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