Virtus Investment Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| VRTS Stock | USD 130.33 0.08 0.06% |
The Simple Moving Average forecast reference data for Virtus Investment Partners is based on the equity's recent trading history. Forecast values and accuracy indicators are summarized on this page for reference. This reference information is provided for analytical context.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Virtus Investment Partners on the next trading day is expected to be 130.29 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 176.88.The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Virtus Investment Partners price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Virtus Investment. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future The Simple Moving Average projections for Virtus Investment Partners are reference data based on historical daily prices and are provided as informational context. Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 26th of March
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Virtus Investment Partners on the next trading day is expected to be 130.29 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.00 , mean absolute percentage error of 15.43 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 176.88 .Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Virtus Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Virtus Investment's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Stock Forecast Pattern
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Forecasted Value
This next-day forecast for Virtus Investment Partners uses model performance to estimate practical downside and upside boundaries rather than a single point target alone. The current forecast range spans downside near 127.92 and upside near 132.65.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Virtus Investment stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Virtus Investment stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.1709 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.8258 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 2.998 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0205 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 176.88 |
Other Forecasting Options for Virtus Investment
Volatility clustering is a well-documented feature of Virtus Stock price data where periods of large moves tend to follow other large moves. When Virtus Investment's RSI reaches extreme levels, it often precedes a short-term price correction or consolidation. Seasonal patterns in Virtus Investment's returns can persist when driven by structural factors like earnings calendars or index rebalancing.Virtus Investment Related Equities
Sizing up Virtus Investment against these stocks within the Financials space shows how it compares on key financial measures. Growth rate gaps between Virtus Investment and its peers often explain pricing differences in the market.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Virtus Investment Market Strength Events
Analyzing market strength indicators for Virtus Investment enables investors to understand relative stock momentum. These tools help identify favorable windows for position changes in Virtus Investment Partners. Market strength indicators support more precise timing of Virtus Investment Partners positions across market cycles.
Virtus Investment Risk Indicators
Identifying and analyzing Virtus Investment's key risk indicators is a foundational step in projecting how its price may evolve. This process involves measuring the level of investment risk in Virtus Investment's and determining how best to manage it. Studying Virtus Investment's risk indicators helps investors understand the risk level of virtus stock.
| Mean Deviation | 1.65 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.28 | |||
| Variance | 5.19 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Virtus Investment
Story coverage around Virtus Investment Partners often expands when market conditions, narrative momentum, or risk-adjusted performance make the security more visible to investors. A disciplined read of coverage separates durable relevance from temporary noise.
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Virtus Investment Short Properties
A short-interest review of Virtus Investment Partners provides context for understanding whether skepticism in the market is becoming more influential. Used correctly, these measures can help investors decide when hedging or timing discipline may matter more than conviction alone.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 6.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 477.2 M |
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