VPR Brands Pink Sheet Forward View - Double Exponential Smoothing

VPRB Stock  USD 0.02  -0.0004  -2.00%   
The reference data on this page reflects Double Exponential Smoothing output applied to VPR Brands LP's historical daily closing prices. Forecast values and accuracy statistics are presented for informational purposes.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of VPR Brands LP on the next trading day is expected to be 0.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.0023 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.14.When VPR Brands LP prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any VPR Brands LP trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent VPR Brands observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations. The forecast reference data presented here for VPR Brands LP reflects Double Exponential Smoothing model output and is intended as reference material for analytical use.
Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for VPR Brands works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality.

Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 22nd of March

Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of VPR Brands LP on the next trading day is expected to be 0.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.0023 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.000011 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.14 .
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict VPR Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that VPR Brands' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Forecasted Value

The next-day forecast for VPR Brands LP focuses on identifying predictive downside and upside bands that can frame a realistic trading range. Investors should still remember that no empirical framework consistently proves that one family of forecasting models will outperform all other approaches in live markets.
Market Value
0.02
0.0002
Downside
0.02
Expected Value
13.59
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of VPR Brands pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent VPR Brands pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -4.0E-4
MADMean absolute deviation0.0023
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.099
SAESum of the absolute errors0.1373
When VPR Brands LP prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any VPR Brands LP trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent VPR Brands observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Other Forecasting Options for VPR Brands

Understanding VPR Brands' price movement is a prerequisite for any investor considering VPR as a position. VPR Pink Sheet price charts are frequently cluttered with noise that can interfere with accurate interpretation.

VPR Brands Related Equities

The following equities are related to VPR Brands within the Consumer Staples space and can be used for peer comparison, relative valuation, or portfolio diversification. Comparing VPR Brands against peers on metrics such as P/E, margins, and return on equity helps contextualize its positioning and identify relative strengths or weaknesses.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

VPR Brands Market Strength Events

For traders and investors in VPR Brands LP, market strength indicators offer a quantitative framework for evaluating the pink sheet's responsiveness to market conditions. These tools help identify when trading VPR Brands shares is most likely to generate favorable returns.

VPR Brands Risk Indicators

Analyzing VPR Brands' risk indicators provides a critical input for price forecasting and investment risk management. By quantifying the risk in VPR Brands' investment, investors can make more informed decisions about their exposure and hedging strategies.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for VPR Brands

The amount of media and story coverage tied to VPR Brands LP can signal where market attention is concentrating at the moment. This is most useful when investors want to understand why a security is suddenly drawing more public discussion.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Macroaxis publishes story content for a diverse readership that includes finance students, independent investors, money managers, and market-focused operating teams. What connects that audience is a focus on building stronger portfolios through better research, risk awareness, and comparative analysis.

VPR Brands Short Properties

Reviewing short-oriented indicators for VPR Brands LP is useful because long and short participants often create very different signals for timing and volatility. The stronger read compares short sentiment with trend behavior, volume, and the broader market narrative.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding96.7 M
Short Long Term Debt2.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments2590.00
Shares Float58.7 M

More Resources for VPR Pink Sheet Analysis

Other Information on Investing in VPR Pink Sheet

The ratio set for VPR Brands connects key financial figures across reports. These metrics link profitability, liquidity, and valuation signals. The layout supports consistent interpretation across periods. All figures are sourced from the latest available reporting inputs and presented as reference data.