Vulcan Materials Stock Forecast - Simple Regression
| VMC Stock | USD 298.67 1.73 0.58% |
Vulcan Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Vulcan Materials stock prices and determine the direction of Vulcan Materials's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Vulcan Materials' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, The relative strength index (RSI) of Vulcan Materials' share price is at 50. This entails that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Vulcan Materials, making its price go up or down. Momentum 50
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.808 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 2.3287 | EPS Estimate Current Year 8.41 | EPS Estimate Next Year 9.8222 | Wall Street Target Price 326.4783 |
Using Vulcan Materials hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Vulcan Materials from the perspective of Vulcan Materials response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Vulcan Materials using Vulcan Materials' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Vulcan using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Vulcan Materials' stock price.
Vulcan Materials Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Vulcan Materials' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Vulcan. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Vulcan Materials stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 281.5454 | Short Percent 0.041 | Short Ratio 5.33 | Shares Short Prior Month 4.7 M | 50 Day MA 294.0864 |
Vulcan Relative Strength Index
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Vulcan Materials on the next trading day is expected to be 301.31 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.09 and the sum of the absolute errors of 253.37.Vulcan Materials Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Vulcan Materials' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Vulcan. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Vulcan can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Vulcan Materials. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Vulcan Materials' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Vulcan Materials.
Vulcan Materials Implied Volatility | 0.3 |
Vulcan Materials' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Vulcan Materials stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Vulcan Materials' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Vulcan Materials stock will not fluctuate a lot when Vulcan Materials' options are near their expiration.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Vulcan Materials on the next trading day is expected to be 301.31 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.09 and the sum of the absolute errors of 253.37. Vulcan Materials after-hype prediction price | USD 298.67 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Vulcan Materials to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Vulcan contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Vulcan Materials will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0188% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Vulcan Materials trading at USD 298.67, that is roughly USD 0.056 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Vulcan Materials' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Vulcan Materials options at the current volatility level of 0.3%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Vulcan Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Vulcan Materials' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Vulcan Materials' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Vulcan Materials stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Vulcan Materials' open interest, investors have to compare it to Vulcan Materials' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Vulcan Materials is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Vulcan. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Vulcan Materials Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Vulcan price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Vulcan using various technical indicators. When you analyze Vulcan charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Vulcan Materials Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 29th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Vulcan Materials on the next trading day is expected to be 301.31 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.09, mean absolute percentage error of 26.49, and the sum of the absolute errors of 253.37.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Vulcan Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Vulcan Materials' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Vulcan Materials Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Vulcan Materials | Vulcan Materials Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Vulcan Materials Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Vulcan Materials' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Vulcan Materials' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 299.78 and 302.83, respectively. We have considered Vulcan Materials' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Vulcan Materials stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Vulcan Materials stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 123.2252 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 4.0866 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0139 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 253.3664 |
Predictive Modules for Vulcan Materials
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Vulcan Materials. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Vulcan Materials After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Vulcan Materials at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Vulcan Materials or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Vulcan Materials, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Vulcan Materials Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Vulcan Materials' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Vulcan Materials' historical news coverage. Vulcan Materials' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 297.14 and 300.20, respectively. We have considered Vulcan Materials' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Vulcan Materials is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Vulcan Materials is based on 3 months time horizon.
Vulcan Materials Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Vulcan Materials is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Vulcan Materials backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Vulcan Materials, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.06 | 1.52 | 0.31 | 0.16 | 10 Events / Month | 9 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
298.67 | 298.67 | 0.00 |
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Vulcan Materials Hype Timeline
On the 28th of January Vulcan Materials is traded for 298.67. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.31, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.16. Vulcan is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 29.75%. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.06%. %. The volatility of related hype on Vulcan Materials is about 55.37%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 298.83. About 96.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Vulcan Materials was at this time reported as 66.17. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.24. Vulcan Materials recorded earning per share (EPS) of 8.47. The entity last dividend was issued on the 10th of November 2025. The firm had 3:1 split on the 11th of March 1999. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next expected press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Vulcan Materials to cross-verify your projections.Vulcan Materials Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Vulcan Materials' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Vulcan Materials' future price movements. Getting to know how Vulcan Materials' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Vulcan Materials may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MLM | Martin Marietta Materials | 23.55 | 8 per month | 1.48 | (0) | 1.89 | (2.34) | 8.83 | |
| AMRZ | Amrize | 0.20 | 29 per month | 1.52 | 0.05 | 3.46 | (2.58) | 8.15 | |
| FNV | Franco Nevada | 1.92 | 9 per month | 1.20 | 0.25 | 3.37 | (1.89) | 8.99 | |
| CTVA | Corteva | 0.25 | 5 per month | 0.91 | 0.13 | 2.20 | (1.41) | 5.41 | |
| NUE | Nucor Corp | 1.77 | 8 per month | 1.18 | 0.17 | 3.86 | (2.45) | 8.47 | |
| GFI | Gold Fields Ltd | (1.20) | 10 per month | 2.66 | 0.16 | 6.28 | (6.11) | 14.92 | |
| AU | AngloGold Ashanti plc | 0.20 | 5 per month | 2.55 | 0.23 | 6.75 | (5.13) | 14.20 | |
| WPM | Wheaton Precious Metals | 0.58 | 10 per month | 1.73 | 0.27 | 4.11 | (2.91) | 9.66 | |
| CX | Cemex SAB de | (0.02) | 11 per month | 1.00 | 0.22 | 3.44 | (1.75) | 13.23 | |
| MT | ArcelorMittal SA ADR | 0.20 | 8 per month | 0.80 | 0.28 | 3.96 | (1.87) | 6.19 |
Other Forecasting Options for Vulcan Materials
For every potential investor in Vulcan, whether a beginner or expert, Vulcan Materials' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Vulcan Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Vulcan. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Vulcan Materials' price trends.Vulcan Materials Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Vulcan Materials stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Vulcan Materials could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Vulcan Materials by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Vulcan Materials Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Vulcan Materials stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Vulcan Materials shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Vulcan Materials stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Vulcan Materials entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 4483.46 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.47) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 299.53 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 299.25 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (1.73) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (1.73) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 50.81 |
Vulcan Materials Risk Indicators
The analysis of Vulcan Materials' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Vulcan Materials' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting vulcan stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.09 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.69 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.47 | |||
| Variance | 2.17 | |||
| Downside Variance | 3.14 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.86 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.96) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Vulcan Materials
The number of cover stories for Vulcan Materials depends on current market conditions and Vulcan Materials' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Vulcan Materials is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Vulcan Materials' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Vulcan Materials Short Properties
Vulcan Materials' future price predictability will typically decrease when Vulcan Materials' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Vulcan Materials often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Vulcan Materials' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Vulcan Materials' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 133.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 559.7 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Vulcan Materials to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Vulcan Stock refer to our How to Trade Vulcan Stock guide.You can also try the Equity Forecasting module to use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum.
Is Construction Materials space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Vulcan Materials. If investors know Vulcan will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Vulcan Materials listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.808 | Dividend Share 1.93 | Earnings Share 8.47 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.144 |
The market value of Vulcan Materials is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Vulcan that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Vulcan Materials' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Vulcan Materials' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Vulcan Materials' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Vulcan Materials' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Vulcan Materials' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Vulcan Materials is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Vulcan Materials' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.