USBC Stock Forward View - Triple Exponential Smoothing
| USBC Stock | USD 0.40 0.00 0.000002% |
USBC's Triple Exponential Smoothing reference data reflects the model's output when applied to available daily price observations. This page summarizes the model output and key accuracy metrics for reference. The projected value and error metrics are calculated from available daily price observations.
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of USBC Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 0.40 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.33.As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past USBC observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older USBC Inc observations. The Triple Exponential Smoothing reference values for USBC are derived from publicly available price data and should be used for informational purposes only. Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 24th of March
Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of USBC Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 0.40 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.0009 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.33 .Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict USBC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that USBC's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest USBC | USBC Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
The next-day forecast for USBC Inc focuses on identifying predictive downside and upside bands that can frame a realistic trading range. The current forecast range spans downside near 0.004 and upside near 6.01.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of USBC stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent USBC stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0057 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0225 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0456 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 1.3272 |
Other Forecasting Options for USBC
Relative Strength Index values for USBC measure the speed and magnitude of recent price changes. Recognizing these clusters in USBC's returns helps calibrate position size and stop-loss levels. Candlestick pattern analysis of USBC Stock daily data can reveal short-term reversal or continuation signals.USBC Related Equities
The peer firms below within the Information Technology space can help frame USBC's pricing and running costs in context. Checking cash flow across this peer set helps gauge USBC's relative financial strength.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
USBC Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators provide a structured view of how USBC stock is positioned relative to trends. These indicators are valuable tools for identifying when to enter or exit positions in USBC Inc. Investors tracking USBC can use these signals to validate or adjust their position timing.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.13 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 0.38 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 0.38 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 0.05 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.025 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 42.81 |
USBC Risk Indicators
The analysis of USBC's risk metrics is one of the most important steps in projecting its future price. This process quantifies the risk associated with USBC's and helps determine how to manage it. A structured analysis of USBC's risk indicators is one of the most reliable ways to improve forecast accuracy.
| Mean Deviation | 4.42 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 5.6 | |||
| Variance | 31.34 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for USBC
Story coverage around USBC Inc often expands when market conditions, narrative momentum, or risk-adjusted performance make the security more visible to investors. The stronger process compares story flow with performance, theme classification, and the level of short-term market interest.
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USBC Short Properties
Reviewing short-oriented indicators for USBC Inc is useful because long and short participants often create very different signals for timing and volatility. This is most valuable when investors want to know whether bearish pressure is starting to shape the market's reaction function.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 63.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 8.8 M |