Amundi Treasury Etf Forward View - Simple Regression
| US3 Etf | USD 236.41 0.68 0.29% |
This reference page presents Simple Regression forecast data for Amundi Treasury Bond. The model output shown here is derived from Amundi Treasury's historical price series and is provided for informational purposes.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Amundi Treasury Bond on the next trading day is expected to be 237.63 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.69 and the sum of the absolute errors of 41.86.In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Amundi Treasury Bond historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data. This Simple Regression forecast data for Amundi Treasury Bond is sourced from the most recent available trading data and is intended solely as reference information. Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 19th of March
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Amundi Treasury Bond on the next trading day is expected to be 237.63 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.69 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.71 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 41.86 .Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Amundi Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Amundi Treasury's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Etf Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Amundi Treasury | Amundi Treasury Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
The next-day forecast for Amundi Treasury Bond focuses on identifying predictive downside and upside bands that can frame a realistic trading range. Used properly, these levels provide context around forecast dispersion rather than certainty about the next closing print.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Amundi Treasury etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Amundi Treasury etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.775 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.6863 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0029 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 41.8641 |
Other Forecasting Options for Amundi Treasury
For every potential investor in Amundi, whether a beginner or expert, Amundi Treasury's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better.Amundi Treasury Related Equities
The following equities are related to Amundi Treasury within the USD Government Bond space and can be used for peer comparison, relative valuation, or portfolio diversification. Comparing Amundi Treasury against peers on metrics such as P/E, margins, and return on equity helps contextualize its positioning and identify relative strengths or weaknesses.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Amundi Treasury Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Amundi Treasury etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Amundi Treasury shares will generate the highest return on.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 236.41 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 236.41 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.34 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.68 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 48.43 |
Amundi Treasury Risk Indicators
The analysis of Amundi Treasury's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Amundi Treasury's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it.
| Mean Deviation | 0.1474 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.1151 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.1915 | |||
| Variance | 0.0367 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.0259 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.0132 | |||
| Expected Short fall | -0.18 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Amundi Treasury
Story coverage around Amundi Treasury Bond often expands when market conditions, narrative momentum, or risk-adjusted performance make the security more visible to investors. A disciplined read of coverage helps investors separate durable relevance from temporary noise.
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Amundi Treasury financial ratios provide valuation context across profits, cash flow, and enterprise value. They help compare Amundi across valuation measures.