United Rentals Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| UR3 Stock | EUR 633.00 -6.40 -1.00% |
Momentum
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth -0.02 | Wall Street Target Price 362.13 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.028 |
The hype view outlines United Rentals' attention response alongside peer coverage.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of United Rentals on the next trading day is expected to be 633.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 15.99 and the sum of the absolute errors of 959.38.United Rentals after-hype prediction price | € 633.0 |
This sentiment summary adds context across forecasting, technical, analyst, and earnings perspectives for the stock.
United |
United Rentals Additional Predictive Modules
Forecasting United Rentals's price movement relies on structured analysis of indicator behavior, momentum signatures, and historical volatility patterns. Combining multiple forecasting approaches can reduce model-specific bias and improve reliability.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
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| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 18th of March 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of United Rentals on the next trading day is expected to be 633.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 15.99 , mean absolute percentage error of 482.96 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 959.38 .Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict United Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that United Rentals' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest United Rentals | United Rentals Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
For the next trading day, Macroaxis evaluates United Rentals' predictive range by looking for statistically meaningful downside and upside boundaries. The current forecast range spans downside near 629.94 and upside near 636.06.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of United Rentals stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent United Rentals stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 122.4526 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 1.0203 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 15.9897 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0223 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 959.38 |
Mean reversion opportunities in United Rentals' arise when market prices disconnect from fundamental anchors such as earnings, book value, or historical price-to-earnings multiples.
After-Hype Price Density Analysis
Using probability distributions for United Rentals forecasting acknowledges that no model can consistently predict United Rentals' exact future price. The distribution approach quantifies model uncertainty and helps investors avoid overconfidence in any single forecast.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
The after-hype price analysis for United Rentals provides a news-conditional view of potential price outcomes. United Rentals' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 629.96 and 636.04, respectively. This analysis complements technical and fundamental research by adding a news-sentiment dimension to United Rentals' price forecasting.
Current Value
Macroaxis estimates the after-hype price of United Rentals across a 3 months horizon to evaluate where the instrument could settle once headline distortion subsides. Used correctly, the estimate adds context around potential normalization rather than promising a specific realized outcome.
Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as United Rentals is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading United Rentals backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with United Rentals, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.11 | 3.06 | 1.76 | 0.06 | 7 Events | 2 Events | In 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
633.00 | 633.00 | 0.00 |
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Hype Timeline
United Rentals is at this time traded for 633.00on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The company has historical hype elasticity of 1.76, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.06. United is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 19.16%. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.11%. %. The volatility of related hype on United Rentals is about 527.59%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 633.06. About 93.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.2. United Rentals recorded earnings per share (EPS) of 33.49. The company had its last dividend issued on the 11th of February 2026. Assuming a 90-day horizon the next estimated press release will be in 7 days. Historical Fundamental Analysis of United Rentals provides a cross-check on projections for United Rentals. The view provides historical context for the projection set.Related Hype Analysis
The peer hype comparison table for United Rentals includes downside risk metrics such as value-at-risk and maximum drawdown for United Rentals' competitors. providing context for assessing the relative risk profile of a United Rentals investment.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| 5PMA | GREENX METALS LTD | 0.00 | 4 per month | 2.94 | 0.07 | 6.52 | -5.17 | 29.12 | |
| HLIA | Nicola Mining | 0.01 | 5 per month | 3.03 | 0.08 | 8.11 | -7.50 | 24.88 | |
| P4Q | Perseus Mining Limited | 0.16 | 5 per month | 3.83 | 0.03 | 4.64 | -5.18 | 16.45 | |
| ISHA | INTERSHOP Communications Aktiengesellschaft | 0.03 | 2 per month | 3.00 | 0.02 | 6.35 | -5.97 | 20.12 | |
| FOO | Salesforce | 4.92 | 10 per month | 0.00 | -0.12 | 3.78 | -6.44 | 11.75 | |
| SIT4 | Singapore Telecommunications Limited | -0.08 | 7 per month | 1.75 | 0.09 | 3.16 | -2.96 | 7.89 | |
| RCI | Rogers Communications | -0.40 | 9 per month | 1.46 | 0.07 | 2.94 | -2.52 | 9.47 | |
| BOQ | BOS BETTER ONLINE | 0.00 | 7 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Other Forecasting Options for United Rentals
The movement of United price is the central consideration for investors deciding whether to enter or hold a position. Noise in United Stock price charts can make it difficult to distinguish meaningful trends from random fluctuations.United Rentals Related Equities
The following equities are related to United Rentals within the Industrials space and can be used for peer comparison, relative valuation, or portfolio diversification. Comparing United Rentals against peers on metrics such as P/E, margins, and return on equity helps contextualize its positioning and identify relative strengths or weaknesses.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
United Rentals Market Strength Events
Investors use market strength indicators for United Rentals to evaluate how the stock performs relative to broader market trends. These indicators support more precise timing of United Rentals positions, helping investors maximize return and minimize poorly-timed trades.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 633.0 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 633.0 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | -3.20 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | -6.40 |
United Rentals Risk Indicators
A careful analysis of United Rentals' basic risk indicators helps investors understand the risk environment surrounding united stock. This understanding is an essential input for forecasting United Rentals' future price and for deciding how to manage the associated investment risk.
| Mean Deviation | 2.16 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.96 | |||
| Variance | 8.76 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for United Rentals
Coverage intensity for United Rentals matters because narrative visibility can influence sentiment, participation, and volatility around the name. The stronger process compares story flow with performance, theme classification, and the level of short-term market interest.
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More Resources for United Stock Analysis
A comprehensive view of United Rentals starts with financial statements and ratio context. United Rentals' financial ratios translate raw accounting data into comparable profitability and efficiency signals. Selected reports below provide context for United Stock:Historical Fundamental Analysis of United Rentals provides a cross-check on projections for United Rentals. The view provides historical context for the projection set. For a detailed overview of how to trade United Stock, see our How to Trade United Stock guide.With United Rentals showing P/E 8.65 and ROE 28.36%, investors get more value when this analysis is combined with the diversification and construction tools below. Those return and profitability levels shape the investment picture - the supplemental tools help investors decide if they are sustainable. You can also try the Equity Search module to search for actively traded equities including funds and ETFs from over 30 global markets.