Income Stock Mutual Fund Forward View - Triple Exponential Smoothing
| UIISX Fund | USD 19.01 0.05 0.26% |
This page provides reference data for Income Stock using Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting. The projected value and error metrics are calculated from available daily price observations.
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Income fund Fund on the next trading day is expected to be 18.95 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.1 and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.62.As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Income Stock observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Income Stock Fund observations. This Triple Exponential Smoothing reference page for Income Stock presents model-generated projections from historical price data for informational purposes. Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 18th of March 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Income Stock Fund on the next trading day is expected to be 18.95 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.1 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.02 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.62 .Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Income Mutual Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Income Stock's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Income Stock | Income Stock Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
Forecasting Income Stock Fund for the next session involves measuring the model's historical ability to define credible downside and upside scenarios. The projected forecast band currently runs from roughly 18.30 on the downside to about 19.59 on the upside.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Income Stock mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Income Stock mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.002 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0952 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.005 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 5.6188 |
Other Forecasting Options for Income Stock
For investors considering Income, Income Stock's price movement is the most direct driver of investment returns. Noise in Income Mutual Fund price charts can make identifying meaningful trends difficult without dedicated analytical tools.Income Stock Related Equities
The following equities are related to Income Stock within the Large Value space and can be used for peer comparison, relative valuation, or portfolio diversification. Comparing Income Stock against peers on metrics such as P/E, margins, and return on equity helps contextualize its positioning and identify relative strengths or weaknesses.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Income Stock Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators for Income Stock provide investors with a view of how the mutual fund performs across different market environments. By analyzing these indicators, traders can determine the best moments to enter or exit positions in Income Stock Fund.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 19.01 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 19.01 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.025 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.05 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 48.0 |
Income Stock Risk Indicators
A structured analysis of Income Stock's risk indicators is one of the most reliable ways to improve the accuracy of price forecasts. Understanding the risk embedded in Income Stock's allows investors to decide whether to accept, reduce, or hedge their exposure.
| Mean Deviation | 0.6035 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.3976 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.18 | |||
| Variance | 1.39 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.4301 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.1581 | |||
| Expected Short fall | -0.75 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Income Stock
Story coverage around Income Stock Fund often expands when market conditions, narrative momentum, or risk-adjusted performance make the security more visible to investors. The practical risk is that faster visibility can increase both interest and skepticism at the same time.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Macroaxis publishes story content for a diverse readership that includes finance students, independent investors, money managers, and market-focused operating teams. What connects that audience is a focus on building stronger portfolios through better research, risk awareness, and comparative analysis.