Ultrapar Participacoes Stock Forecast - Relative Strength Index
| UGP Stock | USD 3.94 0.07 1.81% |
Ultrapar Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Ultrapar Participacoes' naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Ultrapar Participacoes' systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Ultrapar Participacoes fundamentals over time.
As of today the value of relative strength index of Ultrapar Participacoes' share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.101 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.08 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.4246 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.3883 | Wall Street Target Price 4.6243 |
Using Ultrapar Participacoes hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Ultrapar Participacoes SA from the perspective of Ultrapar Participacoes response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Ultrapar Participacoes using Ultrapar Participacoes' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Ultrapar using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Ultrapar Participacoes' stock price.
Ultrapar Participacoes Short Interest
An investor who is long Ultrapar Participacoes may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Ultrapar Participacoes and may potentially protect profits, hedge Ultrapar Participacoes with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 3.468 | Short Percent 0.0019 | Short Ratio 0.72 | Shares Short Prior Month 2.5 M | 50 Day MA 3.9694 |
Ultrapar Participacoes Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Ultrapar Participacoes' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Ultrapar. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Ultrapar can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Ultrapar Participacoes SA. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Ultrapar Participacoes' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Ultrapar Participacoes.
Ultrapar Participacoes Implied Volatility | 1.39 |
Ultrapar Participacoes' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Ultrapar Participacoes SA stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Ultrapar Participacoes' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Ultrapar Participacoes stock will not fluctuate a lot when Ultrapar Participacoes' options are near their expiration.
Ultrapar Participacoes after-hype prediction price | USD 3.94 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Ultrapar Participacoes to cross-verify your projections. Open Interest Against 2026-02-20 Ultrapar Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Ultrapar Participacoes' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Ultrapar Participacoes' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Ultrapar Participacoes stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Ultrapar Participacoes' open interest, investors have to compare it to Ultrapar Participacoes' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Ultrapar Participacoes is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Ultrapar. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Ultrapar Participacoes Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Ultrapar price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Ultrapar using various technical indicators. When you analyze Ultrapar charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Check Ultrapar Participacoes Volatility | Backtest Ultrapar Participacoes | Information Ratio |
Ultrapar Participacoes Trading Date Momentum
| On January 11 2026 Ultrapar Participacoes SA was traded for 3.94 at the closing time. Highest Ultrapar Participacoes's price during the trading hours was 3.96 and the lowest price during the day was 3.88 . There was no trading activity during the period 0.0. Lack of trading volume on the 11th of January 2026 did not result in any price rise and fall. The trading price change to current price is 1.52% . |
| Compare Ultrapar Participacoes to competition |
Other Forecasting Options for Ultrapar Participacoes
For every potential investor in Ultrapar, whether a beginner or expert, Ultrapar Participacoes' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Ultrapar Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Ultrapar. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Ultrapar Participacoes' price trends.Ultrapar Participacoes Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Ultrapar Participacoes stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Ultrapar Participacoes could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Ultrapar Participacoes by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Ultrapar Participacoes Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Ultrapar Participacoes' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Ultrapar Participacoes' current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Ultrapar Participacoes Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Ultrapar Participacoes stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Ultrapar Participacoes shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Ultrapar Participacoes stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Ultrapar Participacoes SA entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Ultrapar Participacoes Risk Indicators
The analysis of Ultrapar Participacoes' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Ultrapar Participacoes' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting ultrapar stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.86 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.66 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.5 | |||
| Variance | 6.25 | |||
| Downside Variance | 8.05 | |||
| Semi Variance | 7.08 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.85) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Pair Trading with Ultrapar Participacoes
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Ultrapar Participacoes position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Ultrapar Participacoes will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.The ability to find closely correlated positions to Ultrapar Participacoes could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Ultrapar Participacoes when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Ultrapar Participacoes - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Ultrapar Participacoes SA to buy it.
The correlation of Ultrapar Participacoes is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Ultrapar Participacoes moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Ultrapar Participacoes moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Ultrapar Participacoes can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Additional Tools for Ultrapar Stock Analysis
When running Ultrapar Participacoes' price analysis, check to measure Ultrapar Participacoes' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ultrapar Participacoes is operating at the current time. Most of Ultrapar Participacoes' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ultrapar Participacoes' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ultrapar Participacoes' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ultrapar Participacoes to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.