Timothy Plan Etf Forecast - Naive Prediction
| TPLE Etf | USD 27.74 0.03 0.11% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Timothy Plan on the next trading day is expected to be 28.01 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.13 and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.11. Timothy Etf Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Timothy Plan stock prices and determine the direction of Timothy Plan's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Timothy Plan's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the relative strength momentum indicator of Timothy Plan's share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the etf is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Timothy Plan hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Timothy Plan from the perspective of Timothy Plan response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Timothy Plan on the next trading day is expected to be 28.01 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.13 and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.11. Timothy Plan after-hype prediction price | $ 27.74 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any etf could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in industry. Timothy Plan Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Timothy price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Timothy using various technical indicators. When you analyze Timothy charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Timothy Plan Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 25th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Timothy Plan on the next trading day is expected to be 28.01 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.13, mean absolute percentage error of 0.03, and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.11.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Timothy Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Timothy Plan's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Timothy Plan Etf Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Timothy Plan | Timothy Plan Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Timothy Plan etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Timothy Plan etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 114.5402 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1329 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0049 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 8.1074 |
Predictive Modules for Timothy Plan
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Timothy Plan. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Timothy Plan After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Timothy Plan at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Timothy Plan or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Etf prices, such as prices of Timothy Plan, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Timothy Plan Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Timothy Plan's etf value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Timothy Plan's historical news coverage. Timothy Plan's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 27.74 and 27.74, respectively. We have considered Timothy Plan's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Timothy Plan is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Timothy Plan is based on 3 months time horizon.
Timothy Plan Etf Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a ETF such as Timothy Plan is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Timothy Plan backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Etf price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Timothy Plan, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
27.74 | 27.74 | 0.00 |
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Timothy Plan Hype Timeline
Timothy Plan is at this time traded for 27.74. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Timothy is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Timothy Plan is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 27.74. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in a few days. Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any etf could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in industry.Timothy Plan Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Timothy Plan's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Timothy Plan's future price movements. Getting to know how Timothy Plan's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Timothy Plan may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| TPHE | Timothy Plan | (4.57) | 6 per month | 0.48 | (0.05) | 1.23 | (0.94) | 2.70 | |
| ECLN | First Trust EIP | (0.19) | 2 per month | 0.49 | (0.07) | 0.99 | (0.85) | 2.41 | |
| NSPI | Nationwide | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| CID | CID | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| NOPE | NOPE | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| ACGR | ACGR | (0.05) | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 1.18 | (1.88) | 5.11 | |
| FDVL | Regents Park Funds | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.33 | (0.03) | 1.90 | (1.76) | 9.81 | |
| APRQ | Innovator Capital Management | (0.03) | 3 per month | 0.11 | (0.37) | 0.21 | (0.16) | 1.14 | |
| CSA | VictoryShares | 0.21 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 1.35 | (2.65) | 11.89 | |
| AQGX | Cavalier Investments | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Timothy Plan Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Timothy Plan etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Timothy Plan could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Timothy Plan by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Timothy Plan Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Timothy Plan etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Timothy Plan shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Timothy Plan etf market strength indicators, traders can identify Timothy Plan entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Timothy Plan Risk Indicators
The analysis of Timothy Plan's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Timothy Plan's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting timothy etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.4788 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.4326 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.6269 | |||
| Variance | 0.393 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.3437 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.1871 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.61) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Timothy Plan
The number of cover stories for Timothy Plan depends on current market conditions and Timothy Plan's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Timothy Plan is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Timothy Plan's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any etf could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in industry. You can also try the Transaction History module to view history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance.
The market value of Timothy Plan is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Timothy that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Timothy Plan's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Timothy Plan's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Timothy Plan's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Timothy Plan's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Timothy Plan's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Timothy Plan is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Timothy Plan's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.