Kartoon Studios Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| TOON Stock | 0.71 0.01 1.39% |
Kartoon Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
As of today, the value of RSI of Kartoon Studios' share price is approaching 43. This usually implies that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Kartoon Studios, making its price go up or down. Momentum 43
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Kartoon Studios hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Kartoon Studios from the perspective of Kartoon Studios response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Kartoon Studios on the next trading day is expected to be 0.71 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.01. Kartoon Studios after-hype prediction price | USD 0.71 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Kartoon Studios to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Kartoon Stock, please use our How to Invest in Kartoon Studios guide.Kartoon Studios Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Kartoon price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Kartoon using various technical indicators. When you analyze Kartoon charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Kartoon Studios Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 26th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Kartoon Studios on the next trading day is expected to be 0.71 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0006, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.01.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Kartoon Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Kartoon Studios' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Kartoon Studios Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Kartoon Studios | Kartoon Studios Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Kartoon Studios Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Kartoon Studios' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Kartoon Studios' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 4.22, respectively. We have considered Kartoon Studios' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Kartoon Studios stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Kartoon Studios stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 108.8733 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0018 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0168 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0235 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 1.01 |
Predictive Modules for Kartoon Studios
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kartoon Studios. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Kartoon Studios After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Kartoon Studios at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Kartoon Studios or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Kartoon Studios, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Kartoon Studios Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Kartoon Studios' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Kartoon Studios' historical news coverage. Kartoon Studios' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.04 and 4.22, respectively. We have considered Kartoon Studios' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Kartoon Studios is abnormally volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Kartoon Studios is based on 3 months time horizon.
Kartoon Studios Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Kartoon Studios is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Kartoon Studios backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Kartoon Studios, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.13 | 3.51 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Within a week |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
0.71 | 0.71 | 0.00 |
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Kartoon Studios Hype Timeline
Kartoon Studios is at this time traded for 0.71. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Kartoon is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.13%. %. The volatility of related hype on Kartoon Studios is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.71. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.69. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Kartoon Studios recorded a loss per share of 0.55. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 1:10 split on the 13th of February 2023. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be within a week. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Kartoon Studios to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Kartoon Stock, please use our How to Invest in Kartoon Studios guide.Kartoon Studios Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Kartoon Studios' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Kartoon Studios' future price movements. Getting to know how Kartoon Studios' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Kartoon Studios may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ACCS | ACCESS Newswire | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.96 | 0.02 | 5.58 | (5.41) | 25.77 | |
| UONE | Urban One | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 4.76 | (5.65) | 25.79 | |
| SCOR | Comscore | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.62 | 0.08 | 6.86 | (5.23) | 21.93 | |
| RDI | Reading International | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 3.17 | (4.51) | 14.05 | |
| AENT | Alliance Entertainment Holding | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.29 | 0.07 | 8.65 | (5.13) | 18.92 | |
| FLNT | Fluent Inc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.29 | 0.19 | 10.98 | (5.51) | 26.93 | |
| BODI | The Beachbody Company | 0.00 | 0 per month | 4.00 | 0.20 | 16.28 | (6.73) | 31.37 | |
| NIPG | NIP Group American | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 4.72 | (6.54) | 18.48 | |
| AGAE | Allied Gaming Entertainment | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 8.82 | (7.89) | 22.00 | |
| SWAG | Software Acquisition Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 6.55 | 0.07 | 9.00 | (12.12) | 63.62 |
Other Forecasting Options for Kartoon Studios
For every potential investor in Kartoon, whether a beginner or expert, Kartoon Studios' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Kartoon Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Kartoon. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Kartoon Studios' price trends.Kartoon Studios Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Kartoon Studios stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Kartoon Studios could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Kartoon Studios by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Kartoon Studios Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Kartoon Studios stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Kartoon Studios shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Kartoon Studios stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Kartoon Studios entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Kartoon Studios Risk Indicators
The analysis of Kartoon Studios' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Kartoon Studios' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting kartoon stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.34 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.51 | |||
| Variance | 12.31 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Kartoon Studios
The number of cover stories for Kartoon Studios depends on current market conditions and Kartoon Studios' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Kartoon Studios is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Kartoon Studios' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Kartoon Studios Short Properties
Kartoon Studios' future price predictability will typically decrease when Kartoon Studios' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Kartoon Studios often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Kartoon Studios' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Kartoon Studios' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 38.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 9.9 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Kartoon Studios to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Kartoon Stock, please use our How to Invest in Kartoon Studios guide.You can also try the Portfolio Optimization module to compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk.
Is Stock space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Kartoon Studios. If investors know Kartoon will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Kartoon Studios listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Kartoon Studios is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Kartoon that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Kartoon Studios' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Kartoon Studios' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Kartoon Studios' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Kartoon Studios' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Kartoon Studios' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Kartoon Studios is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Kartoon Studios' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.