TomTom NV Stock Forward View
| TOM2 Stock | EUR 6.39 0.04 0.63% |
TomTom Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, The value of RSI of TomTom NV's share price is at 58. This usually implies that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling TomTom NV, making its price go up or down. Momentum 58
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using TomTom NV hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of TomTom NV from the perspective of TomTom NV response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of TomTom NV on the next trading day is expected to be 5.74 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.14 and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.80. TomTom NV after-hype prediction price | EUR 6.39 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
TomTom |
TomTom NV Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine TomTom price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for TomTom using various technical indicators. When you analyze TomTom charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
TomTom NV Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 2nd of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of TomTom NV on the next trading day is expected to be 5.74 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.14, mean absolute percentage error of 0.03, and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.80.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict TomTom Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that TomTom NV's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
TomTom NV Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest TomTom NV | TomTom NV Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
TomTom NV Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting TomTom NV's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. TomTom NV's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 3.50 and 7.98, respectively. We have considered TomTom NV's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of TomTom NV stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent TomTom NV stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 114.7549 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1443 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0247 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 8.7998 |
Predictive Modules for TomTom NV
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as TomTom NV. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.TomTom NV After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of TomTom NV at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in TomTom NV or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of TomTom NV, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
TomTom NV Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting TomTom NV's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on TomTom NV's historical news coverage. TomTom NV's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 4.15 and 8.63, respectively. We have considered TomTom NV's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
TomTom NV is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of TomTom NV is based on 3 months time horizon.
TomTom NV Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as TomTom NV is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading TomTom NV backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with TomTom NV, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.36 | 2.24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Within a week |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
6.39 | 6.39 | 0.00 |
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TomTom NV Hype Timeline
TomTom NV is at this time traded for 6.39on Euronext Amsterdam of Netherlands. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. TomTom is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.36%. %. The volatility of related hype on TomTom NV is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 6.39. About 50.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The book value of TomTom NV was at this time reported as 1.56. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.82. TomTom NV last dividend was issued on the 23rd of May 2019. The entity had 9:16 split on the 23rd of May 2019. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next projected press release will be within a week. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of TomTom NV to cross-verify your projections.TomTom NV Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to TomTom NV's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict TomTom NV's future price movements. Getting to know how TomTom NV's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how TomTom NV may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| NEDAP | NV Nederlandsche Apparatenfabriek | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.22) | 1.42 | (2.40) | 6.69 | |
| MTRK | MotorK | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 3.94 | (4.83) | 14.64 | |
| CMCOM | CM NV | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.72 | 0.02 | 3.30 | (3.13) | 23.67 | |
| NEDSE | NedSense Enterprises NV | 0.00 | 0 per month | 4.08 | 0 | 7.14 | (6.67) | 25.10 | |
| EAS2P | Ease2pay NV | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 4.55 | (4.17) | 12.68 | |
| AZRN | Azerion Group NV | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.24) | 1.56 | (2.44) | 6.17 | |
| CTAC | Ctac NV | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 1.56 | (2.12) | 9.00 | |
| TWEKA | TKH Group NV | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 1.53 | (1.85) | 6.64 |
Other Forecasting Options for TomTom NV
For every potential investor in TomTom, whether a beginner or expert, TomTom NV's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. TomTom Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in TomTom. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying TomTom NV's price trends.TomTom NV Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with TomTom NV stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of TomTom NV could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing TomTom NV by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
TomTom NV Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how TomTom NV stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading TomTom NV shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying TomTom NV stock market strength indicators, traders can identify TomTom NV entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
TomTom NV Risk Indicators
The analysis of TomTom NV's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in TomTom NV's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting tomtom stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.43 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.31 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.21 | |||
| Variance | 4.87 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.51 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.72 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.79) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for TomTom NV
The number of cover stories for TomTom NV depends on current market conditions and TomTom NV's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that TomTom NV is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about TomTom NV's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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TomTom NV Short Properties
TomTom NV's future price predictability will typically decrease when TomTom NV's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of TomTom NV often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential TomTom NV's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. TomTom NV's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 128.4 M | |
| Shares Float | 62.5 M |
Additional Tools for TomTom Stock Analysis
When running TomTom NV's price analysis, check to measure TomTom NV's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy TomTom NV is operating at the current time. Most of TomTom NV's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of TomTom NV's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move TomTom NV's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of TomTom NV to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.