TLOS Crypto Coin Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| TLOS Crypto | USD 0.01 -0.0002 -1.87% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecast reference data for TLOS is based on the equity's recent trading history. This page summarizes the model output and key accuracy metrics for reference.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of TLOS on the next trading day is expected to be 0.01 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.0005 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.03.This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting TLOS forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent TLOS observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations. All Simple Exponential Smoothing forecast figures shown for TLOS are reference data reflecting model output based on available historical prices. Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 21st of March
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of TLOS on the next trading day is expected to be 0.01 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.0005 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.00000055 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.03 .Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict TLOS Crypto Coin prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that TLOS's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Crypto Coin Forecast Pattern
Forecasted Value
The next-day forecast for TLOS focuses on identifying predictive downside and upside bands that can frame a realistic trading range. Investors should still remember that no empirical framework consistently proves that one family of forecasting models will outperform all other approaches in live markets.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of TLOS crypto coin data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent TLOS crypto coin, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 103.7016 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 1.0E-4 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 5.0E-4 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0338 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.0328 |
Other Forecasting Options for TLOS
Whether a novice or experienced investor, anyone considering TLOS needs to understand the dynamics of TLOS's price movement. Price charts for TLOS Crypto Coin contain a significant amount of noise that can distort investment decisions.TLOS Related Equities
The following equities are related to TLOS within the Cryptocurrency space and can be used for peer comparison, relative valuation, or portfolio diversification. Comparing TLOS against peers on metrics such as P/E, margins, and return on equity helps contextualize its positioning and identify relative strengths or weaknesses.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
TLOS Market Strength Events
Analyzing market strength indicators for TLOS enables investors to understand how the crypto coin performs relative to overall market momentum. These indicators are valuable tools for identifying when to enter or exit positions in TLOS.
| Accumulation Distribution | 31059.29 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | -2.00 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.98 | |||
| Day Median Price | 0.0105 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 0.0105 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | -0.00005 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | -0.0002 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 33.34 |
TLOS Risk Indicators
Identifying and analyzing TLOS's key risk indicators is a foundational step in projecting how its price may evolve. This process quantifies the risk associated with TLOS's and decide how to manage it.
| Mean Deviation | 3.6 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.96 | |||
| Variance | 24.58 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for TLOS
Coverage intensity for TLOS matters because narrative visibility can influence sentiment, participation, and volatility around the name. The practical risk is that faster visibility can increase both interest and skepticism at the same time.
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More Resources for TLOS Crypto Coin Analysis
Analysis of TLOS often begins with its financial statements and historical patterns. Ratios provide structure to financial performance and growth patterns. Values are derived from TLOS's disclosed financial information.Historical Fundamental Analysis of TLOS can be used to cross-verify projections for TLOS. The view provides historical context for the projection set. Historical context should be weighed against known changes in TLOS's operating environment. TLOS currently shows market cap of 5,508. TLOS data on this page supports broader research - the resources below add portfolio-level context. Within the Blockchain space, TLOS peer comparison and risk tools below help frame relative strengths and weaknesses. You can also try the Money Flow Index module to determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators.