TIM Participacoes Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing
| TIMB Stock | USD 22.88 0.22 0.97% |
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of TIM Participacoes SA on the next trading day is expected to be 23.22 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.33 and the sum of the absolute errors of 19.23. TIM Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast TIM Participacoes stock prices and determine the direction of TIM Participacoes SA's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of TIM Participacoes' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the relative strength index (rsi) of TIM Participacoes' share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.563 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.4445 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.5206 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.7191 | Wall Street Target Price 23.2329 |
Using TIM Participacoes hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of TIM Participacoes SA from the perspective of TIM Participacoes response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards TIM Participacoes using TIM Participacoes' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards TIM using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of TIM Participacoes' stock price.
TIM Participacoes Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in TIM Participacoes' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards TIM. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of TIM Participacoes stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 19.8864 | Short Percent 0.013 | Short Ratio 5.4 | Shares Short Prior Month 2.4 M | 50 Day MA 21.6234 |
TIM Participacoes Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to TIM Participacoes' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in TIM. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding TIM can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around TIM Participacoes SA. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
TIM Participacoes Implied Volatility | 0.7 |
TIM Participacoes' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of TIM Participacoes SA stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if TIM Participacoes' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that TIM Participacoes stock will not fluctuate a lot when TIM Participacoes' options are near their expiration.
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of TIM Participacoes SA on the next trading day is expected to be 23.22 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.33 and the sum of the absolute errors of 19.23. TIM Participacoes after-hype prediction price | USD 22.88 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of TIM Participacoes to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current TIM contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that TIM Participacoes SA will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0438% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With TIM Participacoes trading at USD 22.88, that is roughly USD 0.01 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating TIM Participacoes' daily price movement you should consider acquiring TIM Participacoes SA options at the current volatility level of 0.7%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 TIM Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast TIM Participacoes' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in TIM Participacoes' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for TIM Participacoes stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current TIM Participacoes' open interest, investors have to compare it to TIM Participacoes' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of TIM Participacoes is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in TIM. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
TIM Participacoes Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine TIM price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for TIM using various technical indicators. When you analyze TIM charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
TIM Participacoes Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of TIM Participacoes SA on the next trading day is expected to be 23.22 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.33, mean absolute percentage error of 0.16, and the sum of the absolute errors of 19.23.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict TIM Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that TIM Participacoes' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
TIM Participacoes Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest TIM Participacoes | TIM Participacoes Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
TIM Participacoes Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting TIM Participacoes' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. TIM Participacoes' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 21.38 and 25.06, respectively. We have considered TIM Participacoes' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of TIM Participacoes stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent TIM Participacoes stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0108 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.3259 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0152 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 19.228 |
Predictive Modules for TIM Participacoes
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as TIM Participacoes. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.TIM Participacoes After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of TIM Participacoes at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in TIM Participacoes or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of TIM Participacoes, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
TIM Participacoes Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting TIM Participacoes' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on TIM Participacoes' historical news coverage. TIM Participacoes' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 21.04 and 24.72, respectively. We have considered TIM Participacoes' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
TIM Participacoes is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of TIM Participacoes is based on 3 months time horizon.
TIM Participacoes Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as TIM Participacoes is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading TIM Participacoes backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with TIM Participacoes, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.04 | 1.84 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
22.88 | 22.88 | 0.00 |
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TIM Participacoes Hype Timeline
TIM Participacoes is at this time traded for 22.88. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. TIM is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.04%. %. The volatility of related hype on TIM Participacoes is about 5451.85%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 22.88. The book value of the company was at this time reported as 1.95. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.48. TIM Participacoes last dividend was issued on the 29th of December 2025. The entity had 1681:1000 split on the 9th of August 2011. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of TIM Participacoes to cross-verify your projections.TIM Participacoes Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to TIM Participacoes' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict TIM Participacoes' future price movements. Getting to know how TIM Participacoes' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how TIM Participacoes may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| T | ATT Inc | 0.28 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.23) | 1.53 | (1.85) | 4.30 | |
| VZ | Verizon Communications | (0.47) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 1.98 | (2.49) | 5.34 | |
| MRT | Marti Technologies | (0.01) | 8 per month | 2.43 | (0.03) | 7.59 | (4.02) | 20.77 | |
| CCCC | C4 Therapeutics | 0.36 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 8.16 | (7.32) | 24.93 | |
| HOLO | MicroCloud Hologram | (0.01) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 5.57 | (8.22) | 15.30 | |
| IMMR | Immersion | 0.13 | 12 per month | 2.19 | (0.03) | 4.57 | (3.90) | 22.47 | |
| ABSOF | ABS CBN Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 40.00 | |
| HRZN | Horizon Technology Finance | (0.01) | 8 per month | 0.79 | 0.12 | 2.53 | (1.59) | 11.64 |
Other Forecasting Options for TIM Participacoes
For every potential investor in TIM, whether a beginner or expert, TIM Participacoes' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. TIM Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in TIM. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying TIM Participacoes' price trends.TIM Participacoes Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with TIM Participacoes stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of TIM Participacoes could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing TIM Participacoes by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
TIM Participacoes Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how TIM Participacoes stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading TIM Participacoes shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying TIM Participacoes stock market strength indicators, traders can identify TIM Participacoes SA entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
TIM Participacoes Risk Indicators
The analysis of TIM Participacoes' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in TIM Participacoes' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting tim stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.39 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.9 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.86 | |||
| Variance | 3.47 | |||
| Downside Variance | 4.41 | |||
| Semi Variance | 3.62 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.33) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for TIM Participacoes
The number of cover stories for TIM Participacoes depends on current market conditions and TIM Participacoes' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that TIM Participacoes is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about TIM Participacoes' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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TIM Participacoes Short Properties
TIM Participacoes' future price predictability will typically decrease when TIM Participacoes' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of TIM Participacoes SA often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential TIM Participacoes' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. TIM Participacoes' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 484 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 5.7 B |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of TIM Participacoes to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.
Is Wireless Telecommunication Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of TIM Participacoes. If investors know TIM will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about TIM Participacoes listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.563 | Dividend Share 1.203 | Earnings Share 1.54 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.046 |
The market value of TIM Participacoes is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of TIM that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of TIM Participacoes' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is TIM Participacoes' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because TIM Participacoes' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect TIM Participacoes' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between TIM Participacoes' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if TIM Participacoes is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, TIM Participacoes' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.