Templeton Growth Mutual Fund Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

Templeton Growth Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Templeton price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Templeton using various technical indicators. When you analyze Templeton charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur. Triple exponential smoothing for Templeton Growth - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Templeton Growth prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Templeton Growth price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Templeton Growth.

Templeton Growth Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 27th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Templeton Growth Fund on the next trading day is expected to be 29.27 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.17, mean absolute percentage error of 0.05, and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.24.

Templeton Growth Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern

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Templeton Growth Price Prediction

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Templeton Growth Forecasted Value

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Templeton Growth mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Templeton Growth mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality. As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Templeton Growth observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Templeton Growth Fund observations.

Predictive Modules for Templeton Growth

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Templeton Growth. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Hype Prediction Low Estimated High 28.49 29.23 29.97 Details

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 28.19 28.93 29.67 Details

Bollinger Band Projection (param) Low Middle High 27.94 28.76 29.59 Details

Templeton Growth After-Hype Price Density Analysis

Templeton Growth Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Templeton Growth Mutual Fund Price Outlook Analysis

Notes

Templeton Growth Hype Timeline

Templeton Growth is at this time traded for 29.23. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.07. Templeton is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.07%. %. The volatility of related hype on Templeton Growth is about 71.77%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 29.30. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.11. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Templeton Growth last dividend was issued on the 13th of December 2019. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next expected press release will be very soon. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Templeton Growth to cross-verify your projections.

Templeton Growth Related Hype Analysis

Other Forecasting Options for Templeton Growth

For every potential investor in Templeton, whether a beginner or expert, Templeton Growth's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Templeton Mutual Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Templeton. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Templeton Growth's price trends.

Templeton Growth Related Equities

Risk & Return

Correlation

Templeton Growth Market Strength Events

Templeton Growth Risk Indicators

Story Coverage note for Templeton Growth

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Other Information on Investing in Templeton Mutual Fund