Telkom Indonesia Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| TCID Stock | EUR 0.17 0.00 0.00% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Telkom Indonesia Tbk on the next trading day is expected to be 0.17 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.15. Telkom Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Telkom Indonesia stock prices and determine the direction of Telkom Indonesia Tbk's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Telkom Indonesia's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the value of rsi of Telkom Indonesia's share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Telkom Indonesia hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Telkom Indonesia Tbk from the perspective of Telkom Indonesia response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Telkom Indonesia Tbk on the next trading day is expected to be 0.17 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.15. Telkom Indonesia after-hype prediction price | EUR 0.17 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Telkom |
Telkom Indonesia Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Telkom price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Telkom using various technical indicators. When you analyze Telkom charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Telkom Indonesia Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 9th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Telkom Indonesia Tbk on the next trading day is expected to be 0.17 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0.000014, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.15.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Telkom Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Telkom Indonesia's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Telkom Indonesia Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Telkom Indonesia | Telkom Indonesia Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Telkom Indonesia stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Telkom Indonesia stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 106.9256 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0025 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0159 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.1541 |
Predictive Modules for Telkom Indonesia
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Telkom Indonesia Tbk. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Telkom Indonesia Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Telkom Indonesia stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Telkom Indonesia could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Telkom Indonesia by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Telkom Indonesia Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Telkom Indonesia stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Telkom Indonesia shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Telkom Indonesia stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Telkom Indonesia Tbk entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Telkom Indonesia Risk Indicators
The analysis of Telkom Indonesia's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Telkom Indonesia's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting telkom stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.49 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.8 | |||
| Variance | 7.86 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.| JBL | Jabil Circuit | |
| MRK | Merck Company | |
| AMGN | Amgen Inc |
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Telkom Stock
When determining whether Telkom Indonesia Tbk is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Telkom Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Telkom Indonesia Tbk Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Telkom Indonesia Tbk Stock:Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in employment. You can also try the Stock Screener module to find equities using a custom stock filter or screen asymmetry in trading patterns, price, volume, or investment outlook..