TAL Education Stock Forward View - Relative Strength Index

TAL Stock  USD 12.70  1.94  18.03%   
TAL Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although TAL Education's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of TAL Education's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of TAL Education fundamentals over time.
The relative strength index (RSI) of TAL Education's stock price is about 60. This usually implies that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of now. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling TAL, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 60

 Buy Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of TAL Education's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of TAL Education and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from TAL Education's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with TAL Education Group, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting TAL Education's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
5.357
EPS Estimate Current Year
0.691
EPS Estimate Next Year
0.6823
Wall Street Target Price
15.0694
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
0.1607
Using TAL Education hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of TAL Education Group from the perspective of TAL Education response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards TAL Education using TAL Education's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards TAL using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of TAL Education's stock price.

TAL Education Short Interest

An investor who is long TAL Education may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about TAL Education and may potentially protect profits, hedge TAL Education with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
10.8424
Short Percent
0.086
Short Ratio
8.24
Shares Short Prior Month
25.4 M
50 Day MA
11.1738

TAL Relative Strength Index

TAL Education Group Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to TAL Education's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in TAL. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding TAL can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around TAL Education Group. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of TAL Education's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about TAL Education.

TAL Education Implied Volatility

    
  0.68  
TAL Education's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of TAL Education Group stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if TAL Education's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that TAL Education stock will not fluctuate a lot when TAL Education's options are near their expiration.

TAL Education after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 12.72  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of TAL Education to cross-verify your projections.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current TAL contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that TAL Education Group will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0425% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With TAL Education trading at USD 12.7, that is roughly USD 0.005398 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating TAL Education's daily price movement you should consider acquiring TAL Education Group options at the current volatility level of 0.68%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.

Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 TAL Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast TAL Education's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in TAL Education's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for TAL Education stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current TAL Education's open interest, investors have to compare it to TAL Education's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of TAL Education is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in TAL. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

TAL Education Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine TAL price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for TAL using various technical indicators. When you analyze TAL charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
TAL Education Group has current Relative Strength Index of 60.13.
Check TAL Education VolatilityBacktest TAL EducationInformation Ratio  

TAL Education Trading Date Momentum

On January 30 2026 TAL Education Group was traded for  12.70  at the closing time. Highest TAL Education's price during the trading hours was 12.88  and the lowest price during the day was  10.76 . There was no trading activity during the period 0.0. Lack of trading volume on the 30th of January did not result in any price rise and fall. The trading price change to current price is 15.28% .
Compare TAL Education to competition

Other Forecasting Options for TAL Education

For every potential investor in TAL, whether a beginner or expert, TAL Education's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. TAL Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in TAL. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying TAL Education's price trends.

TAL Education Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with TAL Education stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of TAL Education could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing TAL Education by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

TAL Education Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how TAL Education stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading TAL Education shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying TAL Education stock market strength indicators, traders can identify TAL Education Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

TAL Education Risk Indicators

The analysis of TAL Education's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in TAL Education's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting tal stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for TAL Education

The number of cover stories for TAL Education depends on current market conditions and TAL Education's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that TAL Education is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about TAL Education's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

TAL Education Short Properties

TAL Education's future price predictability will typically decrease when TAL Education's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of TAL Education Group often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential TAL Education's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. TAL Education's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding609.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments3.6 B
When determining whether TAL Education Group is a strong investment it is important to analyze TAL Education's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact TAL Education's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding TAL Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of TAL Education to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Portfolio Diagnostics module to use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings.
Is Diversified Consumer Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of TAL Education. If investors know TAL will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive TAL Education assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
5.357
Earnings Share
0.28
Revenue Per Share
4.818
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.27
Return On Assets
0.02
The market value of TAL Education Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of TAL that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of TAL Education's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is TAL Education's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because TAL Education's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect TAL Education's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between TAL Education's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if TAL Education is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Meanwhile, TAL Education's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.