Silvercorp Metals Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| SVM Stock | CAD 13.41 0.54 4.20% |
This page provides Simple Moving Average reference data for Silvercorp Metals, calculated from historical daily prices. The model output shown here is derived from Silvercorp Metals's historical price series and is provided for informational purposes.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Silvercorp Metals on the next trading day is expected to be 13.14 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.71 and the sum of the absolute errors of 41.65.The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Silvercorp Metals price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Silvercorp Metals. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future The Simple Moving Average reference information for Silvercorp Metals is based on available price data and is intended for informational purposes. Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 25th of March
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Silvercorp Metals on the next trading day is expected to be 13.14 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.71 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.82 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 41.65 .Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Silvercorp Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Silvercorp Metals' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Silvercorp Metals | Silvercorp Metals Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
The next-day forecast for Silvercorp Metals focuses on identifying predictive downside and upside bands that can frame a realistic trading range. At the moment, the model places downside around 7.99 and upside around 18.29 for the forecasting period.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Silvercorp Metals stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Silvercorp Metals stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 114.2332 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0444 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.7059 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0471 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 41.65 |
Other Forecasting Options for Silvercorp Metals
The autocorrelation structure of Silvercorp Metals' daily returns reveals whether Silvercorp exhibits momentum, mean-reversion, or random-walk behavior. Separating these elements helps distinguish persistent directional moves from temporary noise in Silvercorp Stock price data.Silvercorp Metals Related Equities
These stocks are related to Silvercorp Metals within the Materials space and can be used for peer review, pricing, or spreading risk. Market cap and total value checks frame Silvercorp Metals' size within the competitive field. Peer pricing works best when the firms compared share similar business models and end markets. These checks provide a starting point for deeper study of Silvercorp Metals' strengths and weak spots.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Silvercorp Metals Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators applied to Silvercorp Metals stock help assess momentum and resilience across environments. These indicators support informed market timing decisions when analyzing Silvercorp Metals.
Silvercorp Metals Risk Indicators
Risk indicator analysis for Silvercorp Metals is essential for accurately projecting its future price trajectory. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Silvercorp Metals' investment and either accepting or mitigating it.
| Mean Deviation | 3.91 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 5.26 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 5.01 | |||
| Variance | 25.08 | |||
| Downside Variance | 28.91 | |||
| Semi Variance | 27.67 | |||
| Expected Short fall | -4.09 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Silvercorp Metals
Story coverage around Silvercorp Metals often expands when market conditions, narrative momentum, or risk-adjusted performance make the security more visible to investors. A disciplined read of coverage separates durable relevance from temporary noise.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Macroaxis story coverage is designed for a broad investing audience that ranges from self-directed traders to advisers, researchers, and institutional market participants. The content is intended to support people who want a more structured path from headline information to portfolio action.
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Silvercorp Metals Short Properties
Reviewing short-oriented indicators for Silvercorp Metals is useful because long and short participants often create very different signals for timing and volatility. The practical goal is to identify when the balance between long and short participation may be changing the quality of the setup.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 206.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 369.1 M |
More Resources for Silvercorp Stock Analysis
Understanding Silvercorp Metals starts with its core financial statements, trend data, and ratio analysis. The reports below outline key financial context for Silvercorp Metals Stock:Use Historical Fundamental Analysis of Silvercorp Metals to cross-verify projections for Silvercorp Metals. Additional detail on trading Silvercorp Stock is available in our How to Trade Silvercorp Stock guide.At P/E 44.68 and ROE 1.54%, Silvercorp Metals analysis should be read alongside other portfolio and risk tools before adjusting capital allocation. Combining those profitability and valuation signals with the risk, diversification, and comparative tools below produces a more informed Basic Materials position-sizing decision. You can also try the Balance Of Power module to check stock momentum by analyzing Balance Of Power indicator and other technical ratios.