Sun Communities Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| SUI Stock | USD 134.95 0.51 0.38% |
Momentum
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth -0.97 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.3388 | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.4889 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.8614 | Wall Street Target Price 143.4118 |
This view connects Sun Communities headline attention with price response and peer context. Options and short interest provide context for sentiment around Sun Communities in this section.
Short Interest Profile - Sun Communities
Changes in Sun Communities' short interest between reporting periods can be as informative as the absolute level. A rapid increase warrants caution; a rapid decrease may signal an emerging change in sentiment toward Sun Communities.
200 Day MA 126.5258 | Short Percent 0.0252 | Short Ratio 1.91 | Shares Short Prior Month 2.1 M | 50 Day MA 129.042 |
RSI Trend for Sun
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Sun Communities on the next trading day is projected to be 134.95 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.30 and the sum of the absolute errors of 78.26.Sun Communities Hype-to-Price View
Public headlines and social commentary around Sun Communities influence how investors perceive risk and opportunity. Quantifying Sun Communities' sentiment makes these subjective biases actionable within a systematic trading framework.
Investor sentiment toward Sun Communities acts as a feedback loop: positive news drives price up, which generates more positive sentiment, attracting more buyers. Understanding where this cycle stands helps investors avoid chasing stocks near peaks.
Sun Communities Implied Volatility | 0.96 |
The term structure of Sun Communities' implied volatility - how it varies across option expiration dates - reveals whether the options market views near-term or longer-term risks as more significant for Sun Communities.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Sun Communities on the next trading day is projected to be 134.95 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.30 and the sum of the absolute errors of 78.26.Sun Communities after-hype prediction price | $ 135.24 |
The module provides attention context in addition to forecasting models, technical indicators, analyst estimates, and earnings trends.
Use Historical Fundamental Analysis of Sun Communities to cross-verify projections for Sun Communities. The historical view provides additional context.Rule 16 Overview for current Sun contract
Rule 16 applies implied volatility to estimate a daily move of roughly 6.0% across the 2026-03-20 option cycle. This estimate is a volatility reference; at $ 134.95, it implies a move of about $ 8.1 per day.
Open Interest Profile for Sun 2026-03-20 Contracts
Open interest summarizes open contracts on Sun Communities and offers neutral context on positioning.
Sun Communities Additional Predictive Modules
Predictive models for Sun Communities combine technical indicators with statistical methods to estimate probable price trajectories. Predictive models for Sun work best when confirmed by real-time indicator readings.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 18th of March 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Sun Communities on the next trading day is expected to be 134.95 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.30 , mean absolute percentage error of 2.54 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 78.26 .Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Sun Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Sun Communities' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Sun Communities | Sun Communities Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
For the next trading day, Macroaxis evaluates Sun Communities' predictive range by looking for statistically meaningful downside and upside boundaries. At the moment, the model places downside around 133.73 and upside around 136.17 for the forecasting period.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Sun Communities stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Sun Communities stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.2049 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.3037 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.3043 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0102 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 78.26 |
Mean reversion in Sun Communities is distinct from trend following. Where trend followers ride price momentum, mean reversion investors bet that extended moves will reverse once the underlying driver runs out of fuel.
After-Hype Price Density Analysis
Probability distribution analysis for Sun Communities provides an objective framework for evaluating risk/reward tradeoffs. By comparing the width of Sun Communities' upside distribution against the downside, investors can make more calibrated position sizing decisions.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
The empirical analysis of Sun Communities' news impact provides an evidence-based estimate of potential price movement around upcoming announcements. Sun Communities' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 134.02 and 136.46, respectively. This estimate is conditional on the type and significance of the news event and should be interpreted in that context for Sun Communities.
Current Value
The next after-hype price estimate for Sun Communities is modeled on a 3 months horizon and is intended to show how price could normalize after sentiment pressure fades. The practical value is that it frames how far price could retrace or stabilize once the headline cycle loses intensity.
Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Sun Communities is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Sun Communities backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Sun Communities, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.16 | 1.22 | 0.29 | 0.09 | 12 Events | 8 Events | In 12 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
134.95 | 135.24 | 0.21 |
|
Hype Timeline
On the 17th of March 2026 Sun Communities is traded for 134.95. The company has historical hype elasticity of 0.29, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.09. Sun is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 135.24 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 66.67%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.21%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.16%. The volatility of related hype on Sun Communities is about 207.42%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 135.04. The company reported last year's revenue of 2.31 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 1.36 B with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 1.22 B. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in 12 days. Use Historical Fundamental Analysis of Sun Communities to cross-verify projections for Sun Communities. The historical view provides additional context.Related Hype Analysis
By analyzing how Sun Communities' sector peers have historically reacted to different types of news, investors can build a mental model of the sentiment dynamics that typically precede changes in Sun Communities's own price.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CLPR | Clipper Realty | -0.08 | 9 per month | 0.00 | -0.05 | 4.28 | -3.46 | 15.31 | |
| UDR | UDR Inc | -0.23 | 10 per month | 1.22 | 0.06 | 2.65 | -1.81 | 8.34 | |
| UMH | UMH Properties | -0.08 | 13 per month | 0.00 | 0.01 | 2.10 | -2.26 | 6.88 | |
| AMH | American Homes 4 | 0.09 | 10 per month | 0.00 | -0.02 | 2.04 | -2.19 | 7.12 | |
| ELS | Equity Lifestyle Properties | -0.24 | 12 per month | 0.69 | 0.19 | 2.21 | -1.44 | 4.37 | |
| NXRT | Nexpoint Residential Trust | -0.46 | 8 per month | 0.00 | -0.06 | 2.82 | -2.61 | 8.82 | |
| EQR | Equity Residential | 3.71 | 12 per month | 1.34 | 0.03 | 2.06 | -2.15 | 6.31 | |
| MAA | Mid America Apartment Communities | 0.97 | 12 per month | 0.00 | -0.01 | 2.15 | -1.91 | 6.14 | |
| ESS | Essex Property Trust | 0.42 | 6 per month | 1.35 | 0.02 | 2.01 | -2.31 | 6.59 | |
| AVB | AvalonBay Communities | 1.40 | 12 per month | 0.00 | -0.01 | 2.29 | -2.31 | 7.11 | |
| CPT | Camden Property Trust | 0.97 | 7 per month | 1.49 | 0.02 | 1.67 | -1.97 | 6.25 |
Other Forecasting Options for Sun Communities
Investors evaluating Sun at any level need to understand the significance of Sun Communities' price movement for their investment outcomes. The presence of noise in Sun Stock price charts demands careful analysis to avoid misinterpreting short-term fluctuations as trends.Sun Communities Related Equities
The following equities are related to Sun Communities within the Real Estate space and can be used for peer comparison, relative valuation, or portfolio diversification. Comparing Sun Communities against peers on metrics such as P/E, margins, and return on equity helps contextualize its positioning and identify relative strengths or weaknesses.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Sun Communities Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators applied to Sun Communities help investors evaluate how the stock tracks overall market momentum and conditions. These signals are used to determine optimal timing for entering or exiting Sun Communities positions.
| Accumulation Distribution | 21548.73 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.1353 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 134.76 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 134.83 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.44 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.51 |
Sun Communities Risk Indicators
The assessment of Sun Communities' risk indicators plays a key role in forecasting its future price and managing investment exposure. Investors who measure Sun Communities' risk profile carefully are better equipped to decide how to manage their positions.
| Mean Deviation | 0.9144 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.15 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.19 | |||
| Variance | 1.41 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.66 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.32 | |||
| Expected Short fall | -0.95 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Sun Communities
Coverage intensity for Sun Communities matters because narrative visibility can influence sentiment, participation, and volatility around the name. A disciplined read of coverage helps investors separate durable relevance from temporary noise.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Sun Communities Short Properties
Short sentiment tied to Sun Communities matters because heavier bearish pressure can change how quickly future price expectations become unstable. The practical goal is to identify when the balance between long and short participation may be changing the quality of the setup.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 124.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 636.1 M |
More Resources for Sun Stock Analysis
Reviewing Sun Communities commonly begins with financial statements and performance trends. Financial ratios provide a structured lens for assessing Sun Communities' profitability and growth trends. Below are reports that help frame Sun Communities Stock in context:Use Historical Fundamental Analysis of Sun Communities to cross-verify projections for Sun Communities. The historical view provides additional context. For a practical introduction to investing in Sun Stock, check out our How to Buy Sun Communities guide.Sun Communities P/E of 85.93 alongside ROE at 0.01% frames the starting point - the resources below add portfolio-level context that single-security analysis cannot provide alone. Those return and profitability levels shape the investment picture - the supplemental tools help investors decide if they are sustainable. You can also try the Theme Ratings module to determine theme ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis theme ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Quarterly Earnings Growth -0.97 | Dividend Share 4.06 | Earnings Share -0.61 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.034 |
Market capitalization and book value offer complementary views of Sun Communities - the first driven by investor sentiment, the second by accounting standards. Sun Communities' market capitalization is 17.28 B. A P/B ratio of 2.38 indicates the market values Sun Communities above its accounting book value. Enterprise value stands at 20.16 B. Intrinsic value represents an estimate of underlying worth and can differ from both market price and book value. Valuation methods compare these perspectives to frame context.
The concept of value for Sun Communities differs from its quoted price, since each reflects a different lens. For Sun Communities, key inputs include a P/E ratio of 85.93, a P/B ratio of 2.38, a profit margin of 59.22%, and ROE of 0.01%. Sun Communities market price reflects the current exchange level formed by active bids and offers.