Stockwik Forvaltning Stock Forward View - Simple Regression
| STWK Stock | SEK 16.45 -0.60 -3.52% |
The Simple Regression forecast reference data for Stockwik Forvaltning AB is based on the equity's recent trading history. Forecast values and accuracy indicators are summarized on this page for reference. This reference information is provided for analytical context.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Stockwik Forvaltning AB on the next trading day is expected to be 18.19 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.75 and the sum of the absolute errors of 46.47.In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Stockwik Forvaltning AB historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data. The Simple Regression projections for Stockwik Forvaltning AB are reference data based on historical daily prices and are provided as informational context. Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 26th of March
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Stockwik Forvaltning AB on the next trading day is expected to be 18.19 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.75 , mean absolute percentage error of 1.08 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 46.47 .Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Stockwik Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Stockwik Forvaltning's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Stockwik Forvaltning | Stockwik Forvaltning Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
Forecasting Stockwik Forvaltning AB for the next session involves measuring the model's historical ability to define credible downside and upside scenarios. The projected forecast band currently runs from roughly 14.27 on the downside to about 22.10 on the upside.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Stockwik Forvaltning stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Stockwik Forvaltning stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 120.0296 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.7495 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.038 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 46.4685 |
Other Forecasting Options for Stockwik Forvaltning
Volatility clustering is a well-documented feature of Stockwik Stock price data where periods of large moves tend to follow other large moves. When Stockwik Forvaltning's RSI reaches extreme levels, it often precedes a short-term price correction or consolidation. Seasonal patterns in Stockwik Forvaltning's returns can persist when driven by structural factors like earnings calendars or index rebalancing.Stockwik Forvaltning Related Equities
Sizing up Stockwik Forvaltning against these stocks within the Industrials space shows how it compares on key financial measures. Peer review on balance sheet metrics shows how Stockwik Forvaltning's capital structure stacks up against similar firms.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Stockwik Forvaltning Market Strength Events
Analyzing market strength indicators for Stockwik Forvaltning enables investors to understand relative stock momentum. These tools help identify favorable windows for position changes in Stockwik Forvaltning AB. Market strength indicators support more precise timing of Stockwik Forvaltning AB positions across market cycles.
Stockwik Forvaltning Risk Indicators
Identifying and analyzing Stockwik Forvaltning's key risk indicators is a foundational step in projecting how its price may evolve. This process involves measuring the level of investment risk in Stockwik Forvaltning's and determining how best to manage it. Studying Stockwik Forvaltning's risk indicators helps investors understand the risk level of stockwik stock.
| Mean Deviation | 2.9 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 3.42 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.99 | |||
| Variance | 15.91 | |||
| Downside Variance | 14.83 | |||
| Semi Variance | 11.7 | |||
| Expected Short fall | -3.55 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Stockwik Forvaltning
A coverage review of Stockwik Forvaltning AB shows when the security is attracting above-average attention from contributors and market observers. The stronger process compares story flow with performance, theme classification, and the level of short-term market interest.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Macroaxis story coverage is designed for a broad investing audience that ranges from self-directed traders to advisers, researchers, and institutional market participants. The content is intended to support people who want a more structured path from headline information to portfolio action.
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Stockwik Forvaltning Short Properties
Short-interest signals around Stockwik Forvaltning AB can help investors judge whether skeptical positioning is starting to pressure price predictability and market tone. This is most valuable when investors want to know whether bearish pressure is starting to shape the market's reaction function.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 107.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 187 M |
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