Sterling Construction Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average
| STRL Stock | USD 364.25 1.72 0.47% |
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Sterling Construction on the next trading day is expected to be 364.25 with a mean absolute deviation of 9.91 and the sum of the absolute errors of 594.89. Sterling Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Sterling Construction's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Sterling Construction's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Sterling Construction fundamentals over time.
As of now, The relative strength momentum indicator of Sterling Construction's share price is at 56. This usually implies that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Sterling Construction, making its price go up or down. Momentum 56
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.508 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 2.33 | EPS Estimate Current Year 10.2575 | EPS Estimate Next Year 11.8325 | Wall Street Target Price 453.3333 |
Using Sterling Construction hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Sterling Construction from the perspective of Sterling Construction response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Sterling Construction using Sterling Construction's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Sterling using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Sterling Construction's stock price.
Sterling Construction Short Interest
An investor who is long Sterling Construction may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Sterling Construction and may potentially protect profits, hedge Sterling Construction with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 273.3784 | Short Percent 0.0867 | Short Ratio 3.77 | Shares Short Prior Month 2.2 M | 50 Day MA 328.3422 |
Sterling Construction Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Sterling Construction's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Sterling. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Sterling can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Sterling Construction. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Sterling Construction Implied Volatility | 0.82 |
Sterling Construction's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Sterling Construction stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Sterling Construction's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Sterling Construction stock will not fluctuate a lot when Sterling Construction's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Sterling Construction on the next trading day is expected to be 364.25 with a mean absolute deviation of 9.91 and the sum of the absolute errors of 594.89. Sterling Construction after-hype prediction price | USD 364.25 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Sterling Construction to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Sterling contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Sterling Construction will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0513% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Sterling Construction trading at USD 364.25, that is roughly USD 0.19 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Sterling Construction's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Sterling Construction options at the current volatility level of 0.82%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Sterling Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Sterling Construction's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Sterling Construction's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Sterling Construction stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Sterling Construction's open interest, investors have to compare it to Sterling Construction's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Sterling Construction is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Sterling. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Sterling Construction Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Sterling price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Sterling using various technical indicators. When you analyze Sterling charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Sterling Construction Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Sterling Construction on the next trading day is expected to be 364.25 with a mean absolute deviation of 9.91, mean absolute percentage error of 196.60, and the sum of the absolute errors of 594.89.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Sterling Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Sterling Construction's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Sterling Construction Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Sterling Construction | Sterling Construction Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Sterling Construction Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Sterling Construction's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Sterling Construction's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 360.12 and 368.38, respectively. We have considered Sterling Construction's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Sterling Construction stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Sterling Construction stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 121.5538 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.3318 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 9.9149 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0296 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 594.895 |
Predictive Modules for Sterling Construction
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sterling Construction. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sterling Construction After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Sterling Construction at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Sterling Construction or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Sterling Construction, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Sterling Construction Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Sterling Construction's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Sterling Construction's historical news coverage. Sterling Construction's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 360.15 and 368.35, respectively. We have considered Sterling Construction's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Sterling Construction is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Sterling Construction is based on 3 months time horizon.
Sterling Construction Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Sterling Construction is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Sterling Construction backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Sterling Construction, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.03 | 4.13 | 0.40 | 0.05 | 9 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
364.25 | 364.25 | 0.00 |
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Sterling Construction Hype Timeline
Sterling Construction is at this time traded for 364.25. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.4, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.05. Sterling is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 30.77%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.03%. %. The volatility of related hype on Sterling Construction is about 255.73%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 364.20. About 97.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.73. Sterling Construction recorded earning per share (EPS) of 10.19. The entity last dividend was issued on the 23rd of December 1998. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Sterling Construction to cross-verify your projections.Sterling Construction Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Sterling Construction's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Sterling Construction's future price movements. Getting to know how Sterling Construction's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Sterling Construction may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BLD | Topbuild Corp | (0.11) | 4 per month | 1.89 | 0.05 | 4.50 | (3.27) | 10.98 | |
| STN | Stantec | 1.00 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 1.96 | (2.27) | 8.69 | |
| ERJ | Embraer SA ADR | (0.11) | 8 per month | 1.72 | 0.04 | 4.02 | (2.78) | 10.26 | |
| BLDR | Builders FirstSource | (0.02) | 22 per month | 2.13 | (0.01) | 5.94 | (3.40) | 15.38 | |
| HII | Huntington Ingalls Industries | 1.94 | 8 per month | 1.17 | 0.26 | 4.34 | (2.56) | 10.50 | |
| WMS | Advanced Drainage Systems | (0.11) | 12 per month | 1.32 | 0.04 | 3.31 | (2.46) | 11.59 | |
| AYI | Acuity Brands | (1.14) | 34 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 2.66 | (2.93) | 16.54 | |
| MLI | Mueller Industries | (0.83) | 8 per month | 0.75 | 0.29 | 2.11 | (1.65) | 6.26 | |
| TTEK | Tetra Tech | (0.11) | 24 per month | 1.71 | 0.05 | 3.80 | (3.21) | 21.35 | |
| MTZ | MasTec Inc | (16.66) | 10 per month | 2.53 | 0.09 | 4.38 | (4.74) | 13.07 |
Other Forecasting Options for Sterling Construction
For every potential investor in Sterling, whether a beginner or expert, Sterling Construction's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Sterling Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Sterling. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Sterling Construction's price trends.Sterling Construction Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Sterling Construction stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Sterling Construction could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Sterling Construction by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Sterling Construction Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Sterling Construction stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Sterling Construction shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Sterling Construction stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Sterling Construction entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Sterling Construction Risk Indicators
The analysis of Sterling Construction's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Sterling Construction's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting sterling stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 3.07 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 4.52 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.27 | |||
| Variance | 18.27 | |||
| Downside Variance | 22.61 | |||
| Semi Variance | 20.42 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (3.10) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Sterling Construction
The number of cover stories for Sterling Construction depends on current market conditions and Sterling Construction's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Sterling Construction is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Sterling Construction's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Sterling Construction Short Properties
Sterling Construction's future price predictability will typically decrease when Sterling Construction's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Sterling Construction often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Sterling Construction's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sterling Construction's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 31.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 664.2 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Sterling Construction to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy Sterling Stock please use our How to buy in Sterling Stock guide.You can also try the Equity Analysis module to research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities.
Is Construction & Engineering space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Sterling Construction. If investors know Sterling will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Sterling Construction listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.508 | Earnings Share 10.19 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.16 | Return On Assets |
The market value of Sterling Construction is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Sterling that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Sterling Construction's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Sterling Construction's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Sterling Construction's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Sterling Construction's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Sterling Construction's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Sterling Construction is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Sterling Construction's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.