Stantec Stock Forward View
| STN Stock | CAD 118.68 -3.27 -2.68% |
This reference page presents Naive Prediction forecast data for Stantec. The projected values and error metrics are presented below as reference information. The output values and deviation metrics are provided for informational reference.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Stantec on the next trading day is expected to be 114.83 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.42 and the sum of the absolute errors of 147.86.This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Stantec. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Stantec. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights. This Naive Prediction forecast data for Stantec is sourced from the most recent available trading data and is intended solely as reference information. Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 23rd of March
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Stantec on the next trading day is expected to be 114.83 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.42 , mean absolute percentage error of 11.77 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 147.86 .Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Stantec Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Stantec's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Stantec | Stantec Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
For the next trading day, Macroaxis evaluates Stantec's predictive range by looking for statistically meaningful downside and upside boundaries. No forecasting approach has been shown to beat all others over time. Investors should treat any model output as a guide, not a guarantee.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Stantec stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Stantec stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 120.5761 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 2.4239 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0189 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 147.8602 |
Other Forecasting Options for Stantec
Stantec's daily price returns can be decomposed into trend, seasonal, and residual components. Divergence between short-term and long-term averages in Stantec often signals an upcoming reversal or acceleration. Gap analysis of Stantec Stock data examines overnight jumps between Stantec's closing and opening prices.Stantec Related Equities
Stantec's market space within the Industrials space is best grasped by looking at the firms listed below. Revenue and margin checks across this group help investors set expectations for Stantec's results.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Stantec Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors evaluate how Stantec stock reacts to evolving market conditions. These indicators help determine optimal entry and exit points for trading Stantec. These indicators can identify periods when trading Stantec may offer more favorable risk-reward conditions.
Stantec Risk Indicators
The analysis of Stantec's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. Understanding the risk involved in holding Stantec's allows investors to make informed decisions about their exposure. The analysis of Stantec's basic risk metrics provides a foundation for managing investment risk.
| Mean Deviation | 1.37 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.13 | |||
| Variance | 4.55 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Stantec
The amount of media and story coverage tied to Stantec can signal where market attention is concentrating at the moment. The stronger process compares story flow with performance, theme classification, and the level of short-term market interest.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Macroaxis story coverage is designed for a broad investing audience that ranges from self-directed traders to advisers, researchers, and institutional market participants. The content is intended to support people who want a more structured path from headline information to portfolio action.
Story Categories
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Stantec Short Properties
Short sentiment tied to Stantec matters because heavier bearish pressure can change how quickly future price expectations become unstable. This is most valuable when investors want to know whether bearish pressure is starting to shape the market's reaction function.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 114.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 398.1 M |
More Resources for Stantec Stock Analysis
A baseline understanding of Stantec is formed through its financial statements and trends. Highlighted below are reports that provide context for Stantec Stock:For Stantec, Historical Fundamental Analysis of Stantec serves as a reference point for projection validation.For information on how to trade Stantec Stock refer to our How to Invest in Stantec guide. It explains the process for buying and trading Stantec Stock effectively.Stantec P/E of 21.49 alongside ROE at 15.5% frames the starting point - the resources below add portfolio-level context that single-security analysis cannot provide alone. Solid capital efficiency at a reasonable valuation - the tools below help confirm that read. You can also try the Portfolio Anywhere module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.