Star Holdings Stock Forward View - Polynomial Regression
| STHO Stock | 8.06 0.08 1.00% |
Momentum
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth -0.98 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.018 |
The hype view outlines Star Holdings' attention response alongside peer coverage. The sentiment summary for Star Holdings reflects options positioning and short interest activity.
Detailed breakdowns are available in Days Sales Outstanding and Ptb Ratio.
Star Holdings Implied Volatility | 1.33 |
Star Holdings' implied volatility rises when investors are uncertain about Star Holdings's future direction - particularly around earnings announcements or regulatory events. It typically falls as uncertainty resolves.
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Star Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 8.41 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.33 and the sum of the absolute errors of 20.15.Star Holdings after-hype prediction price | $ 8.06 |
Hype analysis provides context that aligns with forecasting models, technical indicators, and earnings views.
Historical Fundamental Analysis of Star Holdings provides a cross-check on projections for Star Holdings. The view supplies historical context for the projection discussion.Rule 16 for the current Star contract
Using the Rule 16 heuristic, the current implied volatility suggests an average daily move of about 8.31% for the 2026-05-15 options. With Star Holdings trading near $ 8.06, that translates to about $ 0.67 per day in either direction.
Open Interest vs. 2026-05-15 Star Options
The open interest measure summarizes active contracts for Star Holdings and can be paired with trend context.
Star Holdings Additional Predictive Modules
Forecasting Star Holdings's price movement relies on structured analysis of indicator behavior, momentum signatures, and historical volatility patterns. Model confidence should be calibrated against recent prediction accuracy for Star, not just historical fit.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 17th of March 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Star Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 8.41 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.33 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.15 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 20.15 .Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Star Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Star Holdings' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Star Holdings | Star Holdings Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
For the next trading day, Macroaxis evaluates Star Holdings' predictive range by looking for statistically meaningful downside and upside boundaries. The projected forecast band currently runs from roughly 6.16 on the downside to about 10.67 on the upside.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Star Holdings stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Star Holdings stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.2364 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.3303 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0397 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 20.1455 |
Experienced investors tracking Star Holdings' watch for mean reversion setups: periods when price has deviated significantly from its long-run average, creating an asymmetric risk-reward profile for patient capital.
After-Hype Price Density Analysis
The after-hype price distribution for Star Holdings reflects the range of predicted outcomes based on historical news impact analysis. The spread of Star Holdings' distribution is a direct measure of the uncertainty inherent in any forward-looking price model.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
The after-hype price boundaries for Star Holdings are calculated from a database of Star Holdings' historical headline events and subsequent daily price movements. Star Holdings' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 5.80 and 10.32, respectively. Investors should treat these as statistical reference points, not precise predictions for Star Holdings.
Current Value
The next after-hype price estimate for Star Holdings is modeled on a 3 months horizon and is intended to show how price could normalize after sentiment pressure fades. The objective is to separate event-driven enthusiasm from a more stable price path once the market absorbs the catalyst.
Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Star Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Star Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Star Holdings, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.15 | 2.26 | 0.01 | 0.03 | 6 Events | 4 Events | In 6 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
8.06 | 8.06 | 0.00 |
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Hype Timeline
Star Holdings is at this time traded for 8.06. The company has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.03. Star is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.15%. %. The volatility of related hype on Star Holdings is about 1097.09%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 8.03. About 72.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.38. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Star Holdings recorded a loss per share of 4.9. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in 6 days. Historical Fundamental Analysis of Star Holdings provides a cross-check on projections for Star Holdings. The view supplies historical context for the projection discussion.Related Hype Analysis
Peer hype analysis for Star Holdings aggregates sentiment and news impact data from Star Holdings' competitive set to identify sector-wide trends before they are fully reflected in Star Holdings's own price.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| OPAD | Offerpad Solutions | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | -0.11 | 8.14 | -10.11 | 62.80 | |
| AEI | Alset Ehome International | -0.25 | 3 per month | 0.00 | -0.09 | 11.73 | -10.26 | 42.08 | |
| ASPS | Altisource Portfolio Solutions | -0.23 | 7 per month | 5.81 | 0.0047 | 9.33 | -8.97 | 37.24 | |
| CHMI | Cherry Hill Mortgage | 0.02 | 9 per month | 1.50 | 0.12 | 2.78 | -2.67 | 7.83 | |
| FTHM | Fathom Holdings | 0.05 | 7 per month | 0.00 | -0.11 | 8.70 | -7.94 | 25.38 | |
| MAYS | J W Mays | -1.50 | 2 per month | 2.45 | 0.09 | 4.47 | -5.07 | 24.62 | |
| LFT | Lument Finance Trust | -0.02 | 6 per month | 2.43 | 0.04 | 5.51 | -4.05 | 20.44 | |
| LODE | Comstock Mining | -0.12 | 9 per month | 5.71 | 0.01 | 5.96 | -8.50 | 25.76 | |
| RFL | Rafael Holdings | -0.01 | 8 per month | 0.00 | -0.04 | 4.20 | -3.28 | 26.50 | |
| TKCM | Token Communities | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 178.98 |
Other Forecasting Options for Star Holdings
Investors evaluating Star at any level of experience must contend with the challenge of understanding Star Holdings' price movement. The presence of noise in Star Stock price charts can significantly complicate investment decisions.Star Holdings Related Equities
The following equities are related to Star Holdings within the Real Estate space and can be used for peer comparison, relative valuation, or portfolio diversification. Comparing Star Holdings against peers on metrics such as P/E, margins, and return on equity helps contextualize its positioning and identify relative strengths or weaknesses.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Star Holdings Market Strength Events
For investors tracking Star Holdings, market strength indicators offer a quantitative way to evaluate how the stock behaves under varying market conditions. These metrics are widely used to refine market timing and identify the most favorable moments to trade Star Holdings.
Star Holdings Risk Indicators
Analyzing Star Holdings' basic risk indicators provides investors with a structured view of the risk-return trade-off associated with star stock. Forecasting Star Holdings' future price accurately requires understanding and quantifying the risks present in the investment.
| Mean Deviation | 1.69 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.2 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.19 | |||
| Variance | 4.79 | |||
| Downside Variance | 5.13 | |||
| Semi Variance | 4.85 | |||
| Expected Short fall | -1.81 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Star Holdings
Story coverage around Star Holdings often expands when market conditions, narrative momentum, or risk-adjusted performance make the security more visible to investors. The stronger process compares story flow with performance, theme classification, and the level of short-term market interest.
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Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Star Holdings Short Properties
A short-interest review of Star Holdings helps investors understand whether skepticism in the market is becoming more influential. The stronger read compares short sentiment with trend behavior, volume, and the broader market narrative.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 13.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 50.1 M |
More Resources for Star Stock Analysis
Reviewing Star Holdings commonly begins with financial statements and performance trends. Ratio analysis helps investors evaluate Star Holdings Stock operating efficiency and financial trajectory. Highlighted below are reports that provide context for Star Holdings Stock:Historical Fundamental Analysis of Star Holdings provides a cross-check on projections for Star Holdings. The view supplies historical context for the projection discussion. Interested in buying Star Stock? Our How to Buy Star Holdings guide covers everything you need to know.Star Holdings currently shows ROE of -23.17%, market cap of 101.63 Million. This analysis of Star Holdings works best as a complementary layer when evaluating how the security fits in a broader portfolio. Within the Real Estate space, Star Holdings peer comparison and risk tools below help frame relative strengths and weaknesses. You can also try the Portfolio Optimization module to compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk.
Quarterly Earnings Growth -0.98 | Earnings Share -4.90 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.018 | Return On Assets |
Star Holdings's market price can diverge from book value, the accounting figure shown on Star's balance sheet. Star Holdings' market capitalization is 101.63 M. A P/B ratio of 0.38 suggests Star Holdings trades near or below book value. Enterprise value stands at 290.46 M. Value and price for Star Holdings are related but not identical, and they can diverge across cycles. Trading price represents the transaction level agreed by market participants.
The concept of value for Star Holdings differs from its quoted price, since each reflects a different lens. For Star Holdings, key inputs include a P/B ratio of 0.38, a profit margin of -54.38%, ROE of -23.17%, and revenue of 110.14 M. Star Holdings' trading price represents the transaction level agreed by market participants.