St Barbara Pink Sheet Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| STBMF Stock | USD 0.37 -0.03 -7.50% |
This page provides Simple Moving Average reference data for St Barbara Limited, calculated from historical daily prices. The model output shown here is derived from St Barbara's historical price series and is provided for informational purposes.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of St Barbara Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 0.37 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.41.The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of St Barbara Limited price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of St Barbara. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future The Simple Moving Average reference information for St Barbara is based on available price data and is intended for informational purposes. Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 24th of March
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of St Barbara Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 0.37 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.0012 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.41 .Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict STBMF Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that St Barbara's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
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Forecasted Value
Forecasting St Barbara Limited for the next session involves measuring the model's historical ability to define credible downside and upside scenarios. No forecasting approach has been shown to beat all others over time. Investors should treat any model output as a guide, not a guarantee.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of St Barbara pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent St Barbara pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 107.7044 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.001 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0239 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0495 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 1.41 |
Other Forecasting Options for St Barbara
The autocorrelation structure of St Barbara's daily returns reveals whether STBMF exhibits momentum, mean-reversion, or random-walk behavior. Separating these elements helps distinguish persistent directional moves from temporary noise in STBMF Pink Sheet price data.St Barbara Related Equities
These stocks within the Gold space are often compared to St Barbara by analysts and fund managers in the sector. Key comparison metrics include price-to-earnings, profit margin, and revenue growth across St Barbara's peer group. Sector-wide trends across this peer group can help split company-level factors from broader forces. Tracking St Barbara's results against these peers over time helps spot rising trends early.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
St Barbara Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators applied to St Barbara pink sheet help assess momentum and resilience across environments. Investors can use these indicators to make informed decisions about market timing when trading St Barbara.
St Barbara Risk Indicators
Risk indicator analysis for St Barbara is essential for accurately projecting its future price trajectory. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in St Barbara's investment and either accepting or mitigating it.
| Mean Deviation | 3.6 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 4.52 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 6.11 | |||
| Variance | 37.39 | |||
| Downside Variance | 70.25 | |||
| Semi Variance | 20.48 | |||
| Expected Short fall | -8.66 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for St Barbara
A coverage review of St Barbara Limited shows when the security is attracting above-average attention from contributors and market observers. A disciplined read of coverage separates durable relevance from temporary noise.
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Other Information on Investing in STBMF Pink Sheet
These ratios describe connections between financial data points for St Barbara. This data is based on the latest available financial reporting cycle.